Don't just focus on interest rate cuts; beware of Powell's "hawkish surprise"!\n\nThe probability of a rate cut now exceeds 87%, almost a certainty. But based on my years of experience, the market has already feasted on the "rate cut" narrative, and is now more concerned about whether Powell will utter any "hawkish words"?\n\nMy personal view is that this rate cut is likely to be a "hawkish cut," and whether it's a blessing or a curse is hard to say.\nWhy?\nBecause there is currently a fierce debate within the Federal Reserve, with at least 5 committee members wanting to pause rate cuts. At this meeting, every word from Powell during the press conference, along with the latest "dot plot," will be the true catalyst for the market. If Powell talks about a rate cut but maintains a strong stance, hinting that the number of rate cuts next year will be limited, the market could be doused with cold water.\n\nWhat impact does this have on the crypto market? One word: volatility!\nTheoretically, rate cuts are positive, as they can bring in more liquidity. But if the market feels that "there's no milk left for the future," it can easily turn a positive into a negative. Especially since Bitcoin and U.S. stocks are currently highly correlated, if U.S. stocks plunge due to "hawkish signals," the crypto market will find it hard to stand alone. In other words, regardless of whether it rises or falls tonight, market volatility will definitely be significant.\n\nWhat should retail investors do?\nDon't gamble on direction: In the face of major news, betting on rises and falls is like flipping a coin. Especially with high leverage, be careful not to get wiped out.\n\nIf you're itching to act, prepare both ways: If you really want to trade, consider strategies like "straddle" that bet on volatility rather than direction.\n\nWatch more, act less, protect your capital: Wait until Powell finishes the press conference at 3:30 AM, when market sentiment stabilizes and direction becomes clear, then it's not too late to act.\n\nWant to know why I said Trump’s comment today about "not deflating" is actually digging a pit for the Federal Reserve? Follow me, and tomorrow morning I will break down the intricacies of this, as well as how to position yourself with altcoins next.\n\nWhat retail investors need to do is "patiently wait for opportunities and act decisively and accurately." Stay tuned for insights and join the village to get daily real-time strategies + loss prevention guides!\n#美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC