$XRP Crypto commentator Austin Hilton has drawn attention to a key development scheduled for mid-week, emphasizing that XRP holders should be aware of how an upcoming Federal Reserve decision could impact XRP.

He approached the topic by acknowledging that many investors may feel fatigued by repeated references to macroeconomic policy. However, he maintained that this moment carries direct implications for those holding XRP.

👉Expectations for Wednesday’s Federal Reserve Decision

Hilton stated in his video that Wednesday marks the release of the Federal Reserve’s decision on whether to reduce the base interest rate. He noted that the likelihood of a rate cut is extremely high based on current estimates.

Referring to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, he refreshed the data while recording. He reported that expectations had risen from approximately 87% to just under 90%, placing the probability of a cut at 89.6%. He added that, if implemented, the reduction would likely come in the form of a 25-basis-point adjustment.

He explained that the market has already priced in this expected cut. According to his analysis, if the Federal Reserve does not proceed as anticipated, the result would likely push markets lower.

If the cut happens as expected, Hilton anticipates the immediate market reaction will be limited unless Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivers comments that shift sentiment. He emphasized that investors typically examine Powell’s wording closely for indications of either a supportive or restrictive outlook.

👉Why Hilton Says XRP Holders Should Pay Attention

Hilton connected the rate decision to crypto performance, stating that the broader financial environment influences XRP and other digital assets. He observed that XRP was up by roughly 1.3% to 1.6% at the time he was speaking. He explained that a confirmed rate cut would help maintain conditions needed for the continuation of a potential bull market. Conversely, an unexpected decision by the Federal Reserve could produce volatility across major assets.

He also pointed to another macroeconomic factor approaching later in the month: the Bank of Japan’s upcoming decision on December 19. Hilton mentioned that Japan is considering raising interest rates after maintaining near-zero rates for over two decades, a long-standing policy that has shaped the yen carry trade. He referred to this carry trade as a factor that contributed to market instability the prior week and described it as a negative catalyst that investors should be aware of.

👉Outlook for XRP Going Into the Decision

Hilton said that until Wednesday’s announcement, he expects crypto markets to remain relatively restrained, moving in small increments without establishing a decisive trend. He noted that assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum were holding above key levels. He also pointed out that some smaller tokens were experiencing stronger movement, though the general market tone remained cautious.

In closing, Hilton reiterated that the Federal Reserve decision carries importance for all crypto investors, including XRP holders, due to its influence on the environment needed for market expansion.

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