Hoarding coins for ten years is not as good as rolling the warehouse for ten days? The key is whether your rolling strategy is 'gambling with your life' or 'layout'.
I remember when I first entered the cryptocurrency world, I was also infatuated with the instant pleasure brought by high leverage. Watching those legendary 'one-shot bets', I felt itchy inside, and after a few attempts, I almost got kicked out of this market.
Until I completely gave up the 'get rich quick mentality', I created a set of 'lazy rolling warehouse method': with a capital of 10,000 U, I rolled it to 1 million U in half a year. It's not that I predicted accurately, but that I was 'lazy' enough—lazy enough not to use high leverage, lazy enough not to operate frequently, lazy enough to abide by the strict rules I set for myself.
01 Three core principles to minimize the risks of rolling positions.
Many beginners light up when they hear 'rolling positions' (also known as adding to positions with floating profits), thinking they have found a shortcut to wealth. Little do they know, this is a double-edged sword; if used well, the account can grow exponentially, but if not, it becomes an 'account meat grinder.'
My understanding of rolling positions is different; for me, it is not a gambling tool but a risk-controlled capital management strategy.
First, I only use profits to roll positions, never touching the initial principal. It's like swimming; practice first in shallow waters rather than jumping straight into the deep sea. I split my initial capital of 10,000U into two parts: 5,000U locked in a cold wallet as 'ballast,' unmovable; the remaining 5,000U as strategy funds, which then enter the market.
Secondly, leverage never exceeds 3x. Don't be fooled by others using dozens of times leverage; that's dancing on the edge of a cliff. Even when using 10x leverage, I only open a 10% position, and the actual risk exposure is similar to using 1x leverage. This way, even if my judgment is wrong, there is enough buffer space.
Finally, set a stop loss before opening a position, and never move the stop loss line. My single stop loss is strictly controlled within 2%, with a maximum loss of 100U, accounting for only 1% of the total capital. This is far from the liquidation line, allowing me to sleep peacefully without waking up to check the market in the middle of the night.
02 Practical case study: how 'lazy rolling positions' capture trends.
The true power of rolling positions can only be realized in a trending market. However, the problem is that 70-80% of the time, the market is in a sideways state, and blindly rolling positions will only lead to continuous stop losses. Therefore, most of my time is spent waiting for those 'high certainty' opportunities.
So, when do I consider a 'high certainty' opportunity?
There are mainly four situations: breakouts after a long period of sideways movement, significant pullbacks in a bull market, key price level breakthroughs on a weekly chart, and when market sentiment resonates with major news. In simple terms, it is the critical point where volatility sharply increases.
In May last year, ETH fell for three consecutive days, and panic selling occurred in the market. I waited until the trading volume significantly increased before entering the market near 1800 points. I do not pursue buying at the lowest point; I only wait for the right-side signal to be preliminarily confirmed. Then, I patiently hold for three weeks until ETH rises to 2400 points before closing the position. In this trade, I made a net profit of 35,000U.
The significance of this profit is to increase the principal, equivalent to building a safer cushion for subsequent operations.
BTC consolidated for 38 days, after which daily trading volume suddenly increased by 30% and broke through the previous key resistance level. I only used 2x leverage to establish my initial position. After the price rose by 10%, I immediately moved the stop loss to the cost price, ensuring that this trade would at least break even.
Then, I open new positions using floating profits, keeping leverage within 3x. This way, even if the trend reverses, I only lose part of the profit and do not harm the principal. If all goes well, I can capture two waves of major upward trends, and the profits will be quite considerable.
03 Four strict rules: keeping profits is key to rolling positions.
The temptation of rolling positions lies in the rapid rise of floating profits. At this moment, human greed is most easily amplified. Many players turn 'rolling positions' into 'rolling eggs' here. I have set four iron rules for myself, which are fundamental to ensuring my survival.
Set a stop loss as soon as you open a position, and never change it. No matter how good the market is, do not temporarily adjust the stop loss level. The only situation in which the stop loss can be moved is when the price moves in a favorable direction, at which point the stop loss should be raised to the cost price or below key support levels, with the aim of locking in profits rather than expanding risks.
For profits exceeding 30%, I must withdraw 20% into a cold wallet. This is a key step in converting paper wealth into real wealth. Regularly extracting money from the market is equivalent to continuously lowering the cost of holding positions. In the worst-case scenario, even if subsequent operations go wrong, I have already locked in part of the profit.
After losing two trades, I take a mandatory break of 48 hours. This effectively avoids 'revenge trading' and 'mentality imbalance.' Stepping away from the market allows me to calm down; reviewing mistakes is the best way to break the cycle of losses.
If monthly losses reach 10% of the principal, I will stop trading for that month. This is the last line of defense. If losses reach this threshold within a month, it indicates that the current market rhythm or my state has a problem, and I must force a pause to protect the principal and wait to fight again next month.
04 Why is being 'lazy' an advantage in the crypto world?
In such a highly volatile market, surviving for a long time is more important than making quick profits. Those who frequently operate and chase every hot trend often become 'fuel' for the market. My 'laziness' is essentially a proactive choice: only act when I am most confident, reduce decision-making frequency, and improve decision quality.
Eighty percent of market movements may be manipulated; as ordinary traders, our only advantages are patience, calmness, and the ability to seize opportunities. I do not speculate on the intentions of the big players, nor do I pursue buying at the lowest point or selling at the highest point. I only act in the direction of the trend after it is formed, using controllable risks to seek potential gains.
The core of this strategy lies in acknowledging that one cannot predict the market and instead strictly controlling the parts one can manage—position size, risk, and emotions. As a seasoned trader said, the essence of speculative trading is not a prediction game but a risk management game.
05 The fatal flaw of the rolling position strategy, beginners must stay away.
Although I have achieved success relying on this method, I must honestly tell you that the rolling position strategy has inherent fatal flaws; it is not suitable for most people.
The rolling position strategy heavily relies on a unilateral trending market. In a sideways market, frequent false breakouts will lead to continuous stop losses, accumulating small losses. Data shows that the market is in a sideways state about 90% of the time, which means the rolling position strategy is ineffective or even dangerous most of the time.
It requires a high level of comprehensive quality from traders. You need to accurately judge the point of adding to positions, scientifically set moving stop losses, and face the huge drawdowns of floating profits with iron discipline. This requires strong psychological quality developed through years of practical training.
For this reason, the rolling position strategy is absolutely unsuitable for beginners. If you do not have a mature trading system and stable profitability, it is strongly recommended to stay away from this strategy. Start with spot trading, understand market fluctuations, and learn risk control; that is the more prudent path.
Conclusion: Slow is fast, less is more.
Nowadays, market volatility has decreased, and simply hoarding coins indeed makes it difficult to achieve high returns. Proper use of leverage tools is not terrifying; what is terrifying is disordered and uncontrolled operations.
My 'lazy rolling position technique' essentially means: managing risk by slicing it, using profits to seek further profits, and only making heavy bets on high-certainty opportunities. This is a 'slow' philosophy; while others chase short-term profits, I prefer to be 'lazy,' allowing the account to slowly appreciate under the premise of controlling risk.
The biggest miracle in the crypto world is not becoming rich overnight but surviving. In this market, those who can survive and continue to make money have never been the smartest or bravest but those who understand risk control best and are the most patient.
Sometimes, being 'lazy' can lead to going further. Follow Ake to learn more first-hand information and precise points about the crypto world, becoming your guide in the crypto space; learning is your greatest wealth!#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $ETH
