Farewell to Roller Coasters: #polymarket Survival Rules for Stable Market Makers

In the prediction market, some are betting their lives, and some are collecting rent.

In pursuit of long-term stable cash flow, we have built a dual-layer screening system: Layer 1's machine rationality + Layer 2's cognitive moat.

Our goal is singular: reject volatility, embrace only profit.

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First line of defense: Only engage in 'boring' markets

The core of stable market making is to avoid all assets that might make your heart race.

Reject the ECG: Look for markets with low volatility.

Safety Comfort Zone: Only operate within the price range of 0.10 - 0.90. Avoid extreme 'black swan nests' like 2%.

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Profit Engine: Earn 'official salary'

Since we do not bet on direction, our profit source is official rewards.

High salary to work: Filter pools with daily average rewards > 1.00 USDC.

Ultimate cost-effectiveness: We are looking for high returns with low risk. If two markets offer the same amount, always choose the one with lower volatility.

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Safety Net: Don't be the bag holder

Liquidity is a lifebuoy: Ensure market depth > $10,000.

Avoid giant whale battlegrounds: Trading volume should be moderate. Too low, and no one plays; too high (whales fighting) risks being harvested by insiders. We want to profit from the loss of retail investors' value.

Friend of Time: Only engage in assets settled within 15 - 90 days.

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Human Risk Control: The unseen dangers of machines

This is the core of Layer 2, using your common sense to filter catastrophic risks.

Three No Principles:

Do not touch political/legal black swans: 'Will Putin step down?' Absolutely avoid.

Do not touch ambiguous rules: Markets with obscure rules that rely on third-party subjective judgments have very low capital efficiency.

Do not touch trending topics: Avoid the hot topics that are buzzing on Twitter, and go earn money from niche markets.

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Perfect Asset Profile

When you see a market that meets the following characteristics, enter decisively:

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Quiet: The past two weeks have been calm.

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Wealthy: The official rewards are generous.

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Popular: There are retail traders, but it is not the focus of the entire network.

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Clear: The rules are black and white, and there are another month or two before results are out.

Remember: Stable market making earns patient money and collects time rent. #ETH走势分析