【Bail Market Notes】

🍇 Market expectations for interest rate cuts have risen again to 90%. Pay attention to changes in the 2026 dot plot.

🍇 The 20-year Japanese government bond yield has risen to a historical high, raising some concerns for risk assets.

🍇 The price of $BTC remains in the $92,000 range; resistance above at $97,000 and $102,000, with support levels below at $80,000 to $85,000.

🍇 ETF fund inflows are stable/slowing down, with green leaf long leverage remaining flat.

🍇 Option IV continues to decline slowly, with ∆25 Skew data still slightly bearish.

🍇 Crypto Sticky Notes:

- StandX_Official has officially launched its website, where trading and holding $DUSD as well as providing liquidity can earn points, with TGE expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026.

- A new wallet points activity has started on MetaMask, with the first season lasting 90 days (until 2026/01/23), with a total of $30 million in $LINEA tokens to be shared.

- Binance:

🟣 The Binance wallet has launched the BNB DEFI Carnival event, where deposits of $BTCB and $USDT enjoy additional rewards, active until 2026/01/30.

🟣 The fifth phase of the @TreehouseFi Booster event has begun, where subscribing with wstETH can earn $TREE rewards, active from 12/06 to 2026/02/04 07:59.