The consecutive rise over 4 days was suddenly halted at $3131! This is not a shutdown, but rather a major force shaking out positions to prepare fuel for a bigger surge. On the technical chart, a hidden 'spring' has been compressed to its limit, and once the $3240 level is breached, it will trigger a stampede of chasing up. Below is the top tactical map dissected for you.

Core summary: a precise 'upward continuation'.

Ethereum is staging a textbook-style 'rally-consolidation' drama. The daily trend is strong and upward, but in the short term, it is stuck in a silent battlefield between 3040 and 3180. This is not a sign of weakness for the bulls, but rather a gathering of forces before the decisive battle. The market sentiment being 'neutral to bullish' is the best cover, and a 'moderate' risk assessment means that opportunities outweigh traps. Core instruction: greedily set up ambushes in the support area of 3040-3090 where most people hesitate.

Market background: The calm within the eye of the storm

The ambiguous period of global macro is precisely the best stage for core assets like Ethereum to 'become self-reliant'. All speculations about interest rate cuts and ETF inflows are just background noise. The real script is: after breaking the psychological barrier of 3000 USD, a clean chip turnover is needed. The current consolidation is precisely to wash away the uncommitted short-term players, allowing the long-term trend to go further. Remember, in a bull market, a healthy pullback is the best gift.

Three-cycle resonance decoding: Trend, oscillation, and critical points

The market tells different stories at different time dimensions, while the wise listen to all voices.

· Daily (overall commander perspective): Upward trend. A 3.39% increase and a 17.2% volatility are the official certification of trend momentum. It tells you that the big direction has never changed.

· 4 hours (battlefield commander perspective): Consolidation. In the trenches of 3040-3180, both bulls and bears are engaged in a war of attrition. A 4.5% volatility is evidence of repeated tug-of-war between both sides.

· 1 hour/15 minutes (sniper perspective): Consolidation. Extremely narrow volatility (1.5%-1.6%) indicates the silence before the storm, and the direction choice of the next wave of market has entered the countdown.

Long and short troop deployment overview

Time frame Current price (USDT) Trend status Long defense line (support) Short fortress (resistance) Battlefield volatility

Daily 3131.40 ✅ Upward trend 2719.43 (lifeline) 3240.74 (strategic target) 17.2%

4 hours 3131.40 ⏸️ Consolidation at 3040.98 (lower trench) 3180.00 (upper trench) 4.5%

1 hour 3131.40 ⏸️ Consolidation at 3090.67 (forward outpost) 3139.27 (front line barbed wire) 1.6%

15 minutes 3131.40 ⏸️ Consolidation at 3092.69 (ground position) 3139.27 (front wall) 1.5%

Whale's bottom line revealed: Two prices that must be defended.

· 🎯 The Maginot Line for shorts: $3240.74. This is the ultimate checkpoint at the daily level. Breaking here, all technical shorts will collectively surrender, triggering a surge of short covering.

· 🛡️ The bull's Normandy beachhead: 3040-3090 USD area. This is the bottom of the current oscillation box, the cost area of main funds. As long as it is defended here, the upward structure remains intact. And 2719 USD is the rear headquarters that must not be lost in this battle.

Trading volume whispers: From the 'silent transactions' of 15 minutes (905) to the 'active turnover' of the daily line (146.58K), it clearly depicts a picture: retail investors are confused in the short term, while smart money continues to position at the daily level. Waiting for an explosive point to arrive.

Survival rule: How to make money without being shaken off the vehicle

1. Position is life: Treat this trade as a battle, total troop investment should not exceed 20%. The vanguard (first position) is controlled at 5%-10%.

2. Stop loss is military discipline: No stop loss, no trade. Set the stop loss below the key support 'tactically' (like 20 USD below 3040), allowing normal market fluctuations but absolutely not allowing a break to evolve into a rout.

3. The risk-reward ratio is the strategy: Each entry must aim for a return that is more than twice the potential risk. Otherwise, it is a meaningless gamble.

Sniper battle plan (three scripts)

🎯 Main script (60% probability): Buy low in the range, follow the trend breakthrough

· Action: Establish long positions in 2-3 batches in the 3090-3040 USDT range.

· Retreat line (stop loss): 3020 USDT (confirmation of box break).

· Target 1: 3180 USDT (reduce position by 30%).

· Target 2: After breaking 3240 USDT, move the stop loss and let the profits run.

⚡ Rush script (30% probability): Breakthrough chase, ride the waves

· Trigger condition: Price with volume (obvious increase) strongly breaks 3180 USDT.

· Action: When the price pulls back near 3180, invest remaining troops to increase positions.

· Retreat line: 3130 USDT (breakout turned support below).

· Target: Aiming for 3340-3500 USDT.

🌀 Guerrilla script (for experts only): Oscillation arbitrage

· Action: Conduct grid trading within the 3090-3140 small range.

· Warning: This is dancing on the knife edge, requiring extreme discipline, and being ready to turn completely when the direction breaks through.

Market forecast: A panoramic view for the next two weeks

· Short-term (1-7 days): The market will make a decision between 3040-3180. We bet on the bulls to win. If it breaks 3180 with volume, reaching 3240 within a week is highly probable.

· Medium-term (1-4 weeks): As long as 2719 USD does not break, the symphony of the upward trend is far from over. After breaking 3240, the sky is the limit; the 3500-3800 area will be the next stage. Any opportunity to pull back to the 3000-3100 range could be the last 'golden ticket' for the medium term.

Final warning and words of wisdom

Disclaimer: All of the above is a chart-based intelligence analysis, not a wealth code. Your funds, your decision. The cryptocurrency market is a bloody battlefield 24 hours a day, where any extreme situation may occur at any time.

The last true statement:

The current market, with a 'neutral to bullish' smokescreen, hides a clear trend opportunity. Most people are waiting for a breakout confirmation, while the real winners have already completed their positioning near the support level. Will you wait until the price soars to sigh, or will you scientifically and disciplinarily write down your plan for the next profit at this moment?