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🔥 Breaking: Global asset heartbeat accelerates tonight! Two "policy bombs" are about to explode, and the eye of the storm is in these two hours!
🪙 The global market is completely entering "suffocation mode" tonight! Everyone is glued to the screen—two major super events collide, and any spark could ignite a cross-asset tsunami! The bond market, stock market, and foreign exchange market are all trembling because this time what’s at play is not expectations, but the "unexpected surprise" beyond expectations……
🔥 First thunder: Japan's strong earthquake shatters the central bank's interest rate hike dream!
"This is not an ordinary earthquake, it's a monetary policy earthquake!"
A sudden 7.6 magnitude earthquake in Ishikawa, Japan + tsunami warning, the yen plummets in response! The market instantly wakes up: the Bank of Japan was originally sharpening its knives to raise interest rates, now? It’s all over!
In the face of disaster, the central bank can only turn into a "firefighter", with unlimited liquidity support + a delay in tightening almost set in stone. But the terrifying thing is—the "turning point" of Japan's long-term ultra-loose policy may just disappear, yen arbitrage trading is celebrating again, and Asian currencies are shivering……
💥 Second thunder: The Fed's "hawkish rate cut" horror show!
Although a 25 basis point rate cut has long been priced in, the devil is in the details.
Tonight, three bombs may blow through the market:
1️⃣ Dot plot: As long as one more committee member shouts "no rate cuts next year", global liquidity expectations will collapse immediately;
2️⃣ Powell's press conference: If he says with a cold face that "inflation is still tough", US stocks are likely to plunge on the spot;
3️⃣ Opposition votes: If there are more than two votes against the rate cut? It's over, the market will directly interpret it as "the rate hike cycle is far from over"!
"Rate cuts are dead, hawkishness lives on"—this is the script that traders fear the most.
· US stocks continue to fall, tech stocks are weak;
· The bond market is all flat, who dares to play with fire before the decision?
· Gold and the dollar are at odds, one bets on safety, the other bets on hawkishness……
Rate cut? It’s already out of date! Now it all depends on whether Powell's mouth is turned up or down—combined with Japan's post-quake "policy vacuum period", any unexpected word could trigger a chain reaction.
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