12.10 ETH Morning Market Analysis
- Divergence between institutions and sentiment: Institutions continue to increase holdings (BlackRock and Bitmine combined have invested over $270 million to buy the dip), whale addresses increased their holdings by 218,000 ETH in a week, but short-term ETF inflows have slowed, leading to fierce long and short battles;
- Key level resonance: 3290 just touches the upper boundary of the previous target range of 3250-3300 and is below the strong resistance zone of 3350-3400, creating a dual game point of 'target level + resistance ahead' on the technical front;
- Macro expectations constrain: Before the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on December 12, market liquidity is tightening, and the probability of daytime fluctuations is extremely high, avoiding blind chasing of highs and selling of lows.
Short-term fluctuations are biased towards strength, with interval games as the main focus before a clear breakthrough: The current price holds steady at the key support of 3177 (1-hour bullish lifeline), but has not broken through the 3300 integer level, belonging to a narrow fluctuation pattern of 'strong support + weak resistance', making it difficult to have a significant one-sided market before 13:00.
- Bullish strategy: Only when it holds steady at 3300 within 1 hour (three consecutive K-lines closing above), should small positions be added in the direction of the trend, with a target of 3338-3350 and a stop loss at 3270 (20 points below the current price);
- Bearish strategy: If 3300 encounters resistance and falls back, and breaks below the 3260 support, a light position should be taken short, with a target of 3239-3200 and a stop loss at 3320 (20 points above the resistance level);
#加密市场反弹 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 $BTC
