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🚨Tonight is very important! The Fed will not only cut interest rates, but will also take two major steps!
Tonight at 3 AM, The Fed will announce its final decision of the year! A 25 basis point rate cut is almost certain (probability 87.6%), but the actual action comes after the rate cut:
🔥 First major step: may "flood the market"!
Rumors say The Fed is preparing to start buying government bonds worth 45 billion US dollars per month starting January next year. Isn't this just like printing money 💰? If confirmed tonight, it means telling the market: easing 2.0 is coming soon!
💥 Second major step: internal conflict goes public!
This meeting might have the most disagreements in the last 25 years:
🔮 Three possible outcome predictions:
① Compromise solution: rate cut + moderate expansion statement (probability 45%)
② Hawkish attack: rate cut but deny liquidity support (probability 35%)
③ Historical split: more than 3 dissenting votes (probability 20%)
⚠️ Why is this so serious?
1. Powell is caught in the middle, facing immense pressure
2. The Fed's "independence" is threatened
3. Next year's policy may get stuck in tug-of-war and chaos
📈 The market is getting impatient:
· US bond volatility has surged to this year's highest level
· Bitcoin continues to test around 3300
· Wall Street traders have to stay up late tonight
✅ Will Powell directly say "ready to buy government bonds"?
✅ Will the dissenting votes be more than 3?
💰 Immediate impact on your wallet 💰:
If easing → US stocks and cryptocurrencies may soar
If internal conflict → US dollar will rise, but the market may panic
If both happen simultaneously → be prepared to witness historical volatility!


