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卡比–WEB3
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Brothers who persevere! The prospects of the crypto market have never been dim, short-term adjustments cannot hinder long-term value, continue to maintain confidence, and the future is worth our strong expectations!
#牛市一定会回来
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FHE
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价格亮眼,技术硬核:FHE 是炒作还是未来基础设施?
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近期围绕 $MERL 的解锁安排,确实让市场保持高度警惕。从时间节点来看,12 月 12、15、16、19 将连续释放约 7,000 万枚,这一规模在短周期内集中出现,本身就足以对价格预期造成不小的压力。对于情绪偏弱的市场而言,这类密集事件往往更容易放大不确定性。 需要注意的是,这次的解锁主体多为早期参与者,他们的筹码成本极低,与当前价格之间存在较大差距。对于此类持有者而言,流动性窗口出现时倾向于兑现收益,这是相当常见的行为模式,并不涉及情绪,而是基于风险与收益的简单选择。 此外,当下的市场深度相对有限,也意味着承接能力并不充裕。即使未出现明显的抛压,单单预期层面的紧张情绪就可能让盘面受到影响。许多时候,价格的波动并非源自“行为”,而是源自对“可能行为”的提前反应。 在这种背景下,对于持有者而言,更重要的是在节奏上保持理性,不把短期事件当成可以赌博的机会。在连续解锁期间,无论是继续持仓还是选择避险,都需要基于自身的风险承受能力,而不是基于“或许能反转”的侥幸判断。提前衡量成本与后果,往往比追求某一次的高收益更稳妥。
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大盘行情好起来了,紧跟着$UAI 这几天又开始爆啦,猜测马上会有一波市场动作,投研了一下机构成本仅 $0.1~$0.2,感觉车很轻,一看就有是强庄,有大资金入场了。没赶上和 $SXP 的可以关注起来了
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过去一个月的下行确实让人心里发紧,但每一轮周期都是在情绪最差的时候悄悄完成筑底。 流动性、机构持仓、链上活跃度都还在稳步修复,真正的拐点往往出现在大家最不抱期待的时候。 别把短期当结论,别把恐慌当趋势。 市场仍有希望,我们只需要给时间一点耐心。 The past month’s drop has tested everyone’s nerves, but every cycle quietly forms its bottom when sentiment is at its worst. Liquidity, institutional positions and on-chain activity are still stabilizing, and real turning points often appear when expectations are the lowest. Don’t mistake the short term for the full picture, and don’t let fear define the trend. There’s still hope in this market—sometimes we just need to give time a little patience. #加密市场观察 #相信市场
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