The Pre-FOMC $BTC Squeeze: Are You Positioned for the Shock?
The clock is ticking down to the Fed decision, and $BTC is trying to hold its ground around the $92,500 region. This isn't calm trading; it's a nervous positioning squeeze.
🧐The $94,000 Hurdle: The $92,573 spike hit a wall right before the psychological and technical resistance around $94,000. This tells me a lot of smart money is scaling out slightly here, reducing risk ahead of the announcement. They expect volatility, not a clean breakout, yet.
The Rate Cut Bet: The market has priced in a dovish Fed / rate cut with high confidence. This is why we are here at $92.5K. If the Fed confirms this, the market will likely pump hard as "risk-on" assets surge.
The "Hawkish Cut" Risk: The biggest threat is the "Hawkish Cut." If the Fed cuts rates (meeting expectation) but Chair Powell's tone is very cautious or signals no further cuts soon, it could trigger massive disappointment and a violent sell-off.
📉 My Trading Strategy: The Volatility Play
- My Core Position: I'm staying NET LONG based on the macro trend, but I've reduced leverage significantly going into the event.
- The Key Level: The $90,800 - $91,000 zone (where the chart's MA(200) sits) is the line in the sand.
IF $BTC HOLDS $91K after the news: I am instantly ADD-ING to my long, targeting $95K and then $101K. This would confirm a bullish reaction.
IF BTC BREAKS $90K: This signals a market panic from a "Hawkish Cut" or disappointing forward guidance. I'm hitting the STOP-LOSS and flipping to a short position until we re-test support near $87,200.
The next 24 hours are not for the faint of heart. Trade small, and respect your stop-loss!
Where is your stop-loss set?
