Family! When Wall Street ETFs attract over $1 trillion this year, Bitcoin completes its fourth halving, and El Salvador pays salaries in BTC, doesn’t it feel like the boat of financial freedom is about to set sail? But I dare say, 90% of people will fall before dawn — having worked for 8 years and witnessed 3 cycles of bull and bear, I’ve learned the hard way with real money: the more epic the opportunity, the more hidden the deadly traps!
Let me first state my core judgment: In the short term (6-12 months), Bitcoin will fluctuate between $80,000 and $120,000, a 40% pullback is a normal washout; in the medium term (3 years), it will definitely break $300,000, the resonance of policy bottom + capital bottom + supply bottom is the clearest bull market signal I've seen since entering the industry; in the long term (10 years), $1 million is not a dream, after all, Bitcoin's current market value is still less than 5% of gold, and after the halving, the daily output is only 450 coins, under the deflation model, scarcity will only intensify!
But the greater the opportunity, the harsher the pitfall, these 3 landmines must be avoided immediately:
Leverage Death Pit: Don't believe in 'hundredfold returns'! In December 2024, a tragedy occurred with 270,000 people liquidated and $781 million evaporated, high leverage in a volatile market is suicide — my iron rule is: leverage must not exceed 5 times, and the position must not exceed 10% of total funds; I'd rather earn less than lose everything overnight;
Altcoin scam pit: Those altcoins claiming an 'ETF concept' or 'halving benefits' are 99% just Ponzi schemes! In 2024, 3.25 billion market value altcoins have collapsed, remember: in a bear market, only hold Bitcoin, do not touch anything outside the top 5 mainstream coins, buying the dip in altcoins is worse than just giving money to the scammers;
Compliance Naked Run Pit: Salvadoran legislation and US accounting systems are clear, meaning regulation will only get stricter! Private keys must be kept in hardware wallets, tax declarations must have proper documentation, don’t wait until you make money to find out, either the platform has run away with your funds or the tax authorities will pursue penalties.
Many people ask: 'Can we buy now?' My answer is: build positions in batches, increase holdings on dips, and never chase highs. Keep 60% of the position in spot holdings, 20% in stablecoin staking for passive income, and the remaining 20% for swing trading — only sell 'five years of living expenses' at each new high, let the rest compound like a snowball, that’s the ultimate code for surviving bull and bear markets.
Remember, the ones making big money in the crypto world are never the 'smart ones betting on the right points', but the 'tough ones who avoid pitfalls and hold on'. In 2020, I called for buying Bitcoin at $3,000, in 2022, I warned of the LUNA collapse, in 2024, I accurately predicted the volatile market after the ETF launch, each time helping fans avoid traps and reap rewards.
In the next issue, I will break down 'the best entry points after the halving', and I've also organized (2025 Bitcoin Safe Stash Handbook), which includes private key management guides, tax compliance checklists, and position allocation formulas. Follow me, and reply with 'avoid traps' to get it directly! The wealth train in the crypto world never waits for anyone, but only those who avoid traps can smoothly reach the $1 million destination — follow me, don’t be the retail investor being harvested, be one of the few who earn guaranteed returns!
