Tonight, the market is destined to be sleepless! The Federal Reserve's heavyweight decision is about to be revealed, and global investors are nervously waiting.
$BTC breaking through $100,000, $ETH breaking through $4,000, seems to be preparing for a greater storm. The real key moment is at three o'clock in the morning, as the Federal Reserve's decision will trigger market turmoil.
The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates for the third consecutive time, by 25 basis points, bringing rates down to 3.5%-3.75%. But this rate cut is anything but simple!
🔥 Core focus: "Hawkish rate cut" is coming!
An unprecedented division has emerged within the Federal Reserve:
1. Doves believe that interest rates must continue to be cut to stimulate the economy.
2. Hawks believe that inflation is still high, and there is no room left for rate cuts.
So, this time it may be a "hawkish rate cut": cutting rates while hinting that "this may be the last time".
📉 Four key focal points determining future trends:
1. Powell's speech: every word will be carefully interpreted and may suggest that the room for rate cuts is very small.
2. Federal Reserve "dot plot": the key lies in the voting results, with significant internal divisions.
3. Economic data: although inflation has eased, it is still far above the target; the job market is weak.
4. Balance sheet: whether to restart bond purchases (even if not called QE) will be an important signal.
⚡ Market reaction: If the Federal Reserve releases a hawkish signal, the market may experience intense fluctuations. A rate cut is expected, but "when to stop" the rate cuts is key.
Tonight, it is not only about the interest rate decision, but also about setting the tone for next year. Global funds are holding their breath, are you ready? #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析