#美联储FOMC会议 #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察
The market is waiting for the interest rate cut starting gun (CME data shows a 87% probability of a 25 basis point cut), liquidity expectations are high but don't get too carried away! For short-term trading, remember the 'position iron rule': use U-based contracts for clarity, don't exceed 5% of total funds for a single position, new traders should limit leverage to 2-5 times to avoid being wiped out by small fluctuations with over 10 times leverage.
Key trading signals have appeared: $94,000 is a strong resistance level, currently retracing to $92,000 with fluctuations, the 1-hour RSI has just fallen from the overbought zone (>70), so don't chase the highs now! Conservative traders should wait for a pullback to the $91,500-$92,000 range and enter lightly once stabilization signals appear; aggressive traders trying to test positions should set a stop loss at $90,500, and exit immediately if it breaks below.
Tonight at 3 AM, Powell's speech is a watershed moment for the market! Here are two strategies to respond: ① If there is a rate cut + dovish tone, if BTC holds above $94,000, you can increase your position by 10%, targeting $95,500-$96,000, and as soon as you're 50% in profit, immediately move the stop loss to the breakeven line; ② If it leans hawkish and breaks below $90,000, don't try to catch the bottom! Wait until the lower Bollinger band around $89,000 to observe, and only act when volume increases. Discipline is more important than predictions!
