On the weekly chart of Bitcoin, a technical signal has appeared that preceded strong movements in previous cycles. This is the 'golden cross' of the Institutional MACD.
The indicator reflects a change in long-term momentum and helps to see the moment when buying activity begins to recover even before the start of a pronounced trend.
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What does the 'golden cross' of Institutional MACD mean?
The 'golden cross' forms at the intersection of two curves (impulse line and structural impulse line). In the Institutional MACD (a version of the classic MACD adjusted to reflect the long-term market impulse of large investors), such a moment indicates that strength is beginning to shift towards growth. The asset's price during such periods often remains calm and does not show a sharp reversal, but the internal market impulse is already changing direction.
In other words, the indicator captures an early hint of the development of a future trend. The impulse changes first, and the price reaction manifests later.
Two bright appearances of the 'golden cross' of the Institutional MACD can be highlighted:
146,97% growth after the first one at the end of 2023;
75,20% after the second one at the end of 2024;
45,94% after the third one at the end of spring 2025.
Each of these periods began in a phase of low volatility. The price moved slowly, and participants remained cautious. Nevertheless, the internal impulse reflected in the Institutional MACD was already indicating future changes.
A new 'golden cross' is forming under similar conditions: prolonged decline, compressed movement, and smooth recovery of the indicator. The upward crossover indicates that the share of buyers is growing, although the chart does not yet reflect a sharp movement.
Phases of low volatility create suitable conditions for building positions. The 'golden cross' of the Institutional MACD indicates a change in the internal forces of the market during periods when the price remains balanced. The risk-to-reward ratio during such times is often the most attractive.
Large investors focus on the structure of the impulse rather than quick fluctuations. When the indicator shows a reversal before the price, the window of opportunity remains open longer and with less noise.
What is the outcome?
A new 'golden cross' of the Institutional MACD repeats the structure of past cycles. The price of Bitcoin stays within a range, volatility decreases, and the internal impulse turns upward. Such a set of conditions usually indicates an early phase of possible trend expansion.
The signal does not guarantee a large movement, but the very fact of the crossover of lines shows that the market is gradually changing direction.
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