Forecasts do not make the market — but understanding the conditions helps to see the moment before others.
If the altseason of 2026 becomes a reality, it will not happen "because it's time," but because a set of specific catalysts will come together.
## 🔹 Catalyst #1: the dominance of BTC falling below key levels
Altseason always begins where Bitcoin stops absorbing all liquidity.
If dominance goes into the range of 43–46% — this will be the first structural signal.
## 🔹 Catalyst No. 2: sustainable growth of ETH and L2 ecosystem
Ethereum remains the main barometer of altseason.
If it starts to outperform BTC, and L2 platforms accelerate turnover — a wave of 'second level' capital will flow into the market.
## 🔹 Catalyst No. 3: influx of new liquidity through institutional products
ETP, ETF, derivatives, tokenization — all of this creates external capital channels.
If new money enters the system, it will inevitably reach altcoins.
## 🔹 Catalyst No. 4: sectoral trends
AI, RWA, GameFi 2.0, real asset tokenization, new L1.
A strong sector can trigger a season even before the overall market structure.
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## 🎯 Main idea
Altseason 2026 is possible — but not guaranteed.
It will only happen when three things align:
1) market maturity,
2) growth of ETH and decline of BTC dominance,
3) influx of new liquidity.
The scenario can be powerful, it can be moderate — but it is always built on data, not expectations.
⚠️ Not financial advice. The material reflects analytical opinion.
