token loken
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Token Loken — циклология крипторынка,макроанализ и психология инвестора.Пишу просто о сложном. Без шума. По делу.
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# 🚀 Why the alt season will not be the same — and what it means for the investor
In past cycles, everything was simple: Bitcoin rises → Ethereum connects → altcoins explode.
But the market has changed. And old schemes no longer work.
## 1. Too many tokens, too little liquidity
Dozens of new coins appear every week.
But the amount of new money in the market is not growing at such a pace.
But the market has changed. And old schemes no longer work.
## 1. Too many tokens, too little liquidity
Dozens of new coins appear every week.
But the amount of new money in the market is not growing at such a pace.
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# CryptoDigest December 10
1. The history of alt seasons — recurring market patterns.
2. Cycles — overflow $BTC →$ETH →alts.
3. False seasons — growth without volume.
4. Psychology — emotions distort the market.
5. Duration — the maturity of the cycle determines.
6. Late entry — risk outweighs profit.
7. Early exit — fix before the peak.
8. Saw — volatility eats up the deposit.
9. Probability — the season is not guaranteed.
10. 2026 — liquidity catalysts.
#crypto #Altseason #Analytics #MarketCycles #Binance
1. The history of alt seasons — recurring market patterns.
2. Cycles — overflow $BTC →$ETH →alts.
3. False seasons — growth without volume.
4. Psychology — emotions distort the market.
5. Duration — the maturity of the cycle determines.
6. Late entry — risk outweighs profit.
7. Early exit — fix before the peak.
8. Saw — volatility eats up the deposit.
9. Probability — the season is not guaranteed.
10. 2026 — liquidity catalysts.
#crypto #Altseason #Analytics #MarketCycles #Binance
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Key signals: decline in BTC dominance, growth of ETH/L2, and influx of institutional liquidity.
2026 may become a turning point — if the market matures, rather than just 'wanting'.
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2026 may become a turning point — if the market matures, rather than just 'wanting'.
# 🚀 Altseason 2026: what factors could actually trigger the next wave of growth
Forecasts do not make the market — but understanding the conditions helps to see the moment before others.
If the altseason of 2026 becomes a reality, it will not happen "because it's time," but because a set of specific catalysts will come together.
## 🔹 Catalyst #1: the dominance of BTC falling below key levels
If the altseason of 2026 becomes a reality, it will not happen "because it's time," but because a set of specific catalysts will come together.
## 🔹 Catalyst #1: the dominance of BTC falling below key levels
See original
# 🚀 Altseason 2026: what factors could actually trigger the next wave of growth
Forecasts do not make the market — but understanding the conditions helps to see the moment before others.
If the altseason of 2026 becomes a reality, it will not happen "because it's time," but because a set of specific catalysts will come together.
## 🔹 Catalyst #1: the dominance of BTC falling below key levels
If the altseason of 2026 becomes a reality, it will not happen "because it's time," but because a set of specific catalysts will come together.
## 🔹 Catalyst #1: the dominance of BTC falling below key levels
See original
Without liquidity, soft macro, and trend synchronization, the season simply does not begin.
Altseason is not a promise of the market. Illusions here are more expensive than any mistakes.
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Altseason is not a promise of the market. Illusions here are more expensive than any mistakes.
# 🎲 Altseason - not a guarantee, but a probability
A mature view of the market without illusions
Each cycle brings hope for a powerful altseason.
But the truth is that an altseason is not guaranteed for any market.
This is not a mandatory phase, but a result of a set of conditions that sometimes form - and sometimes do not.
## 🔹 Condition No.1: excess liquidity
Each cycle brings hope for a powerful altseason.
But the truth is that an altseason is not guaranteed for any market.
This is not a mandatory phase, but a result of a set of conditions that sometimes form - and sometimes do not.
## 🔹 Condition No.1: excess liquidity
See original
# 🎲 Altseason - not a guarantee, but a probability
A mature view of the market without illusions
Each cycle brings hope for a powerful altseason.
But the truth is that an altseason is not guaranteed for any market.
This is not a mandatory phase, but a result of a set of conditions that sometimes form - and sometimes do not.
## 🔹 Condition No.1: excess liquidity
Each cycle brings hope for a powerful altseason.
But the truth is that an altseason is not guaranteed for any market.
This is not a mandatory phase, but a result of a set of conditions that sometimes form - and sometimes do not.
## 🔹 Condition No.1: excess liquidity
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Are you trading the trend or continuing to burn out on every candle of the saw?
Aggressive liquidity and leverage turn the trend into a battle of impulses — this is the norm of the cycle.
See original
Aggressive liquidity and leverage turn the trend into a battle of impulses — this is the norm of the cycle.
Even a bull market can burn deposits — the saw spares no one.
See original
Even a bull market can burn deposits — the saw spares no one.
# ⚡ The Saw in Altseason: why even a bullish market can burn deposits
Altseason is not just about growth.
This is also chaotic volatility, which knocks out positions faster than the trend can form.
The saw is the main enemy of those who do not understand that growth is never straight.
## 🔹 Reason #1: aggressive influx of liquidity
When the market accelerates, capital of different nature enters altcoins: traders, funds, speculators, retail.
This is also chaotic volatility, which knocks out positions faster than the trend can form.
The saw is the main enemy of those who do not understand that growth is never straight.
## 🔹 Reason #1: aggressive influx of liquidity
When the market accelerates, capital of different nature enters altcoins: traders, funds, speculators, retail.
See original
# ⚡ The Saw in Altseason: why even a bullish market can burn deposits
Altseason is not just about growth.
This is also chaotic volatility, which knocks out positions faster than the trend can form.
The saw is the main enemy of those who do not understand that growth is never straight.
## 🔹 Reason #1: aggressive influx of liquidity
When the market accelerates, capital of different nature enters altcoins: traders, funds, speculators, retail.
This is also chaotic volatility, which knocks out positions faster than the trend can form.
The saw is the main enemy of those who do not understand that growth is never straight.
## 🔹 Reason #1: aggressive influx of liquidity
When the market accelerates, capital of different nature enters altcoins: traders, funds, speculators, retail.
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Growth usually begins when there is no longer belief in it. We do not predict — we only analyze the coin.
but there is no growth)
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Backpack is indeed gradually reviving activity.
Interestingly, it's not the car trading itself that's interesting, but how trader engagement is growing through it.
Interestingly, it's not the car trading itself that's interesting, but how trader engagement is growing through it.
Backpack has potential, I wrote an automation these days.
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And here it is important to understand what really drives the trend — and what is just noise.
Forget about the market! Right now everyone is warmed by bots.
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Bots are also part of the market — they only reinforce what is already embedded in the structure of cycles.
As soon as the illusory growth ends, the foundation remains.
As soon as the illusory growth ends, the foundation remains.
Forget about the market! Right now everyone is warmed by bots.
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If Starknet can retain developers and maintain its pace,
then STRK will become one of the main players among ZK-L2.
It all comes down to the speed of ecosystem development.$STRK
then STRK will become one of the main players among ZK-L2.
It all comes down to the speed of ecosystem development.$STRK
By the way, if you open the STRK chart, an interesting moment is visible:
the volumes of the drop are decreasing, while buyers are picking up more actively.
It looks very much like an accumulation phase.$STRK
{spot}(STRKUSDT)
the volumes of the drop are decreasing, while buyers are picking up more actively.
It looks very much like an accumulation phase.$STRK
{spot}(STRKUSDT)
See original
By the way, if you open the STRK chart, an interesting moment is visible:
the volumes of the drop are decreasing, while buyers are picking up more actively.
It looks very much like an accumulation phase.$STRK
the volumes of the drop are decreasing, while buyers are picking up more actively.
It looks very much like an accumulation phase.$STRK
When the pressure from airdroppers subsides, STRK will trade closer to its fundamentals.
ZK networks are not a month-long hype, they are infrastructure for years. $STRK
{spot}(STRKUSDT)
ZK networks are not a month-long hype, they are infrastructure for years. $STRK
{spot}(STRKUSDT)
See original
When the pressure from airdroppers subsides, STRK will trade closer to its fundamentals.
ZK networks are not a month-long hype, they are infrastructure for years. $STRK
ZK networks are not a month-long hype, they are infrastructure for years. $STRK
Most see only "dump after airdrop" But no one looks at Starknet metrics: TVL growth, Cairo activity, influx of new dApps. The project is undervalued precisely because of the noise around giveaways $STRK
{future}(STRKUSDT)
{future}(STRKUSDT)
See original
Most see only "dump after airdrop" But no one looks at Starknet metrics: TVL growth, Cairo activity, influx of new dApps. The project is undervalued precisely because of the noise around giveaways $STRK
STRK — this is one of the rare cases where ZK-rollup actually benefits the market rather than just making noise.
After the airdrop, the coin is being pushed down, but the foundation of Starknet is strong.$STRK
{spot}(STRKUSDT)
After the airdrop, the coin is being pushed down, but the foundation of Starknet is strong.$STRK
{spot}(STRKUSDT)
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