The benefit of interest rate cuts is dead, and the market returns to a harsh reality: there is only one direction, which is short
This round of interest rate cuts has actually been fully priced in.
Don't be misled by that 90-point surge; it's just the last 'ceremonial lift' of funds.
The real market trend you are witnessing now is:
A continuous decline, getting weaker.
The current price is around 3200; this is not a bullish accumulation; it is the standard bearish market trend.
Why? Because an uptrend relies on positive news, needs funds to drive it, and requires emotional triggers.
But a downtrend? It doesn't need anything.
The bears only need one line: no one dares to buy.
The K-line in this period will look increasingly ugly: unable to rise, unable to stabilize, weak rebounds, long bearish candles, and shrinking volume.
This is a typical bearish market structure: rebounds are only to get you more trapped,
uptrends are just to provide better entry points for the bears.
What is the most correct direction now?
Only one word: short.
It's not about gambling, but about following the trend. It's not about prejudice, but about structure. It's not about emotions, but about cycles.
Before you see clear positive news, before you see incremental funds, before you see a trend reversal,
all 'bottom-fishing fantasies' are just giving away money.
Remember a simple and brutal rule: rises rely on stories, declines rely on instincts.
When the story is gone, instincts will take over the market.
