A-shares fell to 3862 points: Two major signals emerged, prepare for tomorrow's market
Today, A-shares dipped to 3862 points, and two key signals have appeared on the market. Regarding tomorrow's market, no unnecessary elaboration, directly pointing out the core:
1. Market Confidence: Hold firm to see the dawn
"Enduring hardships and waiting for opportunities, three thousand Yue soldiers can swallow Wu; breaking the cauldrons and sinking the boats, the 120 Qin passes ultimately belong to Chu." Currently, there is no need for excessive panic in the market; as long as determination and perseverance are maintained, the turning point in the market will eventually arrive.
2. Key Signals on the Market: Two major clues to guide direction
Signal One: Repair expectations under emotional mismatch. Overnight external interest rate cuts took effect, and the three major U.S. stock indices rose. This morning, the Asia-Pacific markets opened high, but A-shares failed to maintain their strength, instead opening high and falling back. Despite yesterday's long lower shadow and deep V formation, with market expectations rebounding, today the index only briefly returned in certain sectors before falling all the way down. However, this unusual "open high and fall back" trend suggests that tomorrow there may be repair opportunities characterized by "how to fall down and how to rise back."
Signal Two: Fund preferences and market support expectations. Today, the weighted sectors did not show support actions. If the weighted sectors initiate support later, the market will quickly explore the bottom and rebound. From the perspective of fund flow, current funds prefer directions supported by performance: the optical communication sector from the past two days and today's wind power equipment have been active, and the photovoltaic and wind power sectors can be continuously monitored; at the same time, the AI application sector has also entered the low buying range after a pullback.
3. Future market development: 3862 points is a buying opportunity
Today's "Black Thursday" curse, even with significant positive news, was unable to break, but the underlying logic is not complicated: on one hand, the main force is cleaning out unsteady chips, and on the other hand, quantitative funds are engaging in regular low buying and high selling operations. In this washout mode, the probability of a rebound characterized by "how it falls today, how it rises tomorrow" is extremely high.
The current market is in the stage of washing out panic positions; there is no need to panic. Yesterday emphasized that the big market pushing to 3936 points was a reduction opportunity, and today's pullback to 3862 points is a clear buying signal— a 15-minute level bottom divergence is about to form, which is a typical "picking up passengers" market, and Friday is expected to build a bottom and rebound. In a rotational market, as long as the strategy of low buying and high selling is adhered to, the risk of being trapped by the main force can be effectively avoided.