Let me throw out a heart-wrenching conclusion: a monthly salary of three thousand and a monthly salary of thirty thousand may not differ in effort, but rather in whether one has stepped onto a track that can double their assets. As an old analyst who has been navigating the crypto market for 10 years, seen 4 AM candlesticks, and stepped into countless pits, today I won’t sugarcoat it, I will only speak the hard truth. Stop asking whether the crypto circle is a way out for ordinary people; I tell you: this is a rare opportunity pool where a few can break class barriers through cognition and patience! If you can't seize the opportunities here, then it's very likely you'll only be stuck in the cycle of 'working - paying off loans - retirement' for the rest of your life.
Of course, don’t rush to copy homework! I've seen too many people rush in with the mindset of 'getting rich overnight', only to end up losing their principal completely. Remember: the crypto market has never been a casino; those who can make money here are always the 'ones who endure loneliness and survive the bear market'. Those who chase prices daily and can hardly take their eyes off the market for 24 hours usually end up as 'contributing vegetables' to the market. Excellent crypto traders are essentially 'slow-paced hunters' who only take action at the right moment, while spending the rest of their time quietly honing their skills.
Before we dive into the practical content, let me first break down a 'cyclical iron law' that I've used for 10 years; I summarized it after losing six figures, so make sure to save it and not lose it! The crypto market has never been disorderly; its cyclicality is more accurate than a woman's menstrual cycle, and the so-called 'five poor and six absolutes' is almost a curse engraved in bones. From May to August every year, the market is basically in 'lying flat mode', with one day of gains followed by three days of losses being the norm. Anyone who dares to enter heavily during this time is simply against their own money. In these 10 years, I have consistently 'watched the show from the sidelines' during these four months, either going on vacation or researching new projects—definitely not clashing head-on with the market.
So when is the 'golden window' for entering the market? Remember these two time periods: the first is from the end of September to the end of November, during which the market often recovers from the off-season, with funds starting to flow back, and quality targets gradually launching; the second is from before the Spring Festival to April of the following year, when funds are loose after the New Year, along with some concentrated favorable releases in the industry, making it the easiest time of the year for the market to move. Of course, this is only for mainstream targets; short-term speculation on small caps is not included, and beginners should definitely avoid it, or they risk getting 'cut down'.
After discussing the cycle, let's talk about what everyone is most concerned about: how to find quality targets that can double and achieve asset leaps in the market? Don't listen to those 'insider news' or 'big shots' leading trades. I have summarized 10 practical principles that, if followed, can help you avoid 80% of the pitfalls—proven effective!
First, don’t easily give away chips at low positions! Many beginners panic when they see a target drop, fearing being trapped, and end up cutting losses at the lowest point due to the main force's washout operations. Remember: as long as you recognize the value of the target, don’t be swayed by short-term fluctuations. The main force washes the plate to trick you into giving away your low-priced chips; don’t fall for it!
Second, going all in to chase prices and sell is the biggest taboo! I've seen too many people who, upon seeing a target rise, rush in frantically, and when it drops, panic and sell off. Going all in and out is like gambling. In fact, when the overall trend is positive, building positions in batches during downturns not only lowers risk but also reduces costs, and the subsequent profit margin is larger. Remember: the crypto market is not short of opportunities; what it lacks is the ability to control risk.
Third, learn to allocate profits reasonably; don’t just keep adding to your positions. Many people get carried away after making some money, investing all their profits or even additional funds into their positions, resulting in losses not only of profits but also of principal when the market corrects. The correct approach is to cash out a portion of your profits in a timely manner after reaching a certain percentage, withdrawing your principal, and using profits to play the game; this way, even if you incur losses, it won't hurt.
Fourth, cash out during a sharp rise and hold during a sharp drop; mindset is the key to victory. The market cannot keep rising or falling indefinitely. When faced with a sharp rise, first withdraw your principal; the remaining profits can continue to be held. When encountering a sharp drop, as long as the fundamentals of the target are sound, don’t panic and sell; patiently hold on and wait for a rebound. Remember: do not speculate, do not be impatient, do not be greedy, do not be afraid, so that you can go far in the market.
Fifth, ambushing low-priced targets relies on experience, while trading in the secondary market relies on technique. Many beginners get it backward; either they blindly ambush unknown targets or follow the trend in the secondary market, resulting in huge losses. In fact, ambushing low-priced targets requires long-term industry accumulation and precise judgment, while operating in the secondary market requires mastering basic technical analysis and information filtering skills. Both are indispensable.
Sixth, position opening and selling should be layered and staged; don't go all in at once. When opening a position, don't think about making it big in one go; build your position in 3-5 batches, gradually increasing as prices fluctuate to effectively control costs. The same applies to selling: do it in batches to avoid causing a price drop due to a one-time sell-off that affects returns.
Seventh, familiarize yourself with the industry’s interconnected effects; don’t view individual targets in isolation. In the crypto industry, many targets are interconnected; for example, the fluctuations of mainstream targets can drive the trends of related conceptual targets. You can pay more attention to some industry information platforms to understand the connections between targets and master the interconnected effects, which will help you better judge market trends.
Eighth, allocation must be reasonable to balance risk and reward. Don’t invest all your funds into popular targets, nor only hold conservative value targets. You can adopt a configuration method of 'value targets + popular targets': value targets seek stability to ensure basic returns; popular targets seek growth to pursue higher returns. This way, you won’t miss opportunities due to excessive conservatism, nor face high risks due to excessive aggressiveness.
Ninth, remember the iron law of 'there are goods on the board, money in the account, and cash in the pocket.' This is the core secret that has allowed me to survive in the market for 10 years. Never go all in; doing so will lead to certain death! You must keep a portion of cash on hand to deal with unexpected market situations. Investing spare money is fundamental; don’t invest money meant for food or housing into the market. Otherwise, once you incur losses, it will affect your mindset and life.
Tenth, master basic operations and learn to summarize and review. Many beginners don’t even know basic candlestick analysis or volume judgment and blindly enter the market, which is no different from running naked. Regularly observe the market, remember each peak and trough as reference data, learn to record your operations, and periodically review and summarize experiences and lessons. Cultivating the ability to filter and select information will eventually help you form your own trading ideas.
At this point, some may ask: the risks in the crypto market are so high, what if I incur losses? I want to say that every investment carries risk, and there are no zero-risk returns. The key lies in whether you can master the correct methods and control risks effectively. In my 10 years, I have also lost money and stepped into pitfalls, but it is precisely these experiences that have allowed me to summarize the above principles.
Finally, I want to say: the crypto space is indeed a good opportunity for ordinary people to make a comeback, but it is not a casino, nor a charity. Only those with knowledge, patience, and the ability to control risks can make money here. If you want to gain something in this industry, don't think about getting rich overnight. Instead, diligently learn industry knowledge, accumulate trading experience, and cultivate a good mindset.
Follow me@链上标哥 , and I will continue to share valuable content about the crypto industry, including target analysis, market cycle judgments, risk control techniques, etc., to help you avoid pitfalls and seize real opportunities. What problems have you encountered in your trading? Leave a message in the comments to let me know, and I will specifically address them in the next issue! If you find today’s content useful, don’t forget to like, save, and share it with friends around you who want to make a comeback in the crypto space, so we can grow and make money together!
