Is the peak of the bull market the beginning of the bear market? A life-and-death gamble after $126,200, aiming for $30,000 by the end of 2026!
The current market is simply unimaginable. Some say it's a big bear market, while others have put forward a particularly bold view, suggesting that the 18th month after the Bitcoin halving, which is this October, will be the peak of this bull market, and that point will precisely mark the beginning of a big bear market.
Even more exaggerated is the prediction that by October 7, 2025, Bitcoin could surge to a historical high of $126,200, and then begin a bear market lasting 12 months, potentially dropping to between $30,000 and $60,000 by the end of 2026.
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points this month, and there may be a possibility of ending the balance sheet reduction this year. The halving cycle still follows a 4-year pattern, with the last halving occurring on April 20, 2024. According to this theory, the 18th month will be the peak.
If this prediction holds true, and BTC really reaches $126,200 this month, then in the previous bull market, Bitcoin fell by 77%. This time, it definitely won't drop that much; I think the lowest will be around $30,000, and maybe we won't see below $30,000 again. If it can hold up during a crash, that would be a huge profit, just like in October and November before.
I am now hoping that perp can help me turn things around; I must always remain optimistic and confident! Some say Bitcoin will reach its lowest point in October 2026. If the fear index drops to around 10 at that time, it will be a good time to buy the dip. If the fear index falls below 10, just go all in, no hesitation!
However, some people believe that Bitcoin will definitely fall below the peak of $69,000 from 2021 by the end of 2026, with the lowest point likely between $30,000 and $50,000. This market is truly both exciting and nerve-wracking!
Although the overall market is slightly sluggish now, opportunities to earn U will still come! Be patient and wait for the opportunity to arise. The chat room has set up the bottom for everyone, and I will share the trading points later.
