Liangqiu: The interest rate cut on December 11 ends, Bitcoin/Ethereum rises and then falls, evening market analysis

Bitcoin/Ethereum again laid out the strategy of going long first and then short yesterday, but emphasized many times that we did not have much space for long positions last night. The main data moved to short, and after the data, we reminded to add to short positions, which had a much larger overall space. Including multiple reminders last night that the data market must be more patient and focus on holding space, not just running away after a few dozen points, as the market's rise and fall also validates this view. Benefiting from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut of 25 basis points, Bitcoin and Ethereum initially experienced a rise, but subsequent trends diverged, with the former rising and then falling into a game of speculation, while the latter saw a strong rise before losing momentum.

The K-line pattern has recently surged rapidly before retracing, currently in a phase of oscillation and adjustment, while the large space for decline combined with relatively small rebound strength itself indicates a weakening market trend. The daily line forms a long upper shadow K-line, indicating heavy selling pressure above. Technical indicators on the 4-hour cycle show that both DIF and DEA averages are gradually declining, and the MACD histogram has turned from positive to negative, indicating a weakening of short-term bullish momentum. The previous five consecutive bullish days have ended, and the trend is gradually turning bearish.

Evening operation suggestions: short Bitcoin around 90500 to 91000, target around 88500; short Ethereum around 3220 to 3240, target around 3140.

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