📍 #SOL Technical Analysis (2025/12/11)
SOL 【12H】
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【Summary】
Trend: Range
Why: Price trapped between 148.09 and 107.05 with flat EMAs and neutral MACD/DMI.
Strategy:
• Plan: Stay flat; only engage after a confirmed close above 148.09 for longs or below 107.05 for shorts
• Size: Keep about 80% in cash, any probe positions under 20%
• Invalid: Treat any quick return back into the 148.09～107.05 band after a break as a fakeout and exit
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SOL 【4H】
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【Summary】
Trend: Medium Bearish
Why: Close below 134.09 and under EMA9/EMA21 with negative MACD and sub-50 RSI.
Strategy:
• Plan: Fade bounces into 134.09～145.06 while EMAs cap price, add on breakdown through 121.26
• Size: 60% limit shorts in the zone, 40% on a clean break below 121.26
• Invalid: Four-hour short view invalid if price closes above 174.52
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🛑 Short Setup:
• SL: 174.52
• Zone: 134.09～145.06
• Breakdown: 121.26
• TP: 121.26, 110.29, 97.46
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SOL 【1H】
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【Summary】
Trend: Medium Bearish
Why: Price holding below 138.07 and 133.58 near 130.89 with EMAs sloping down and bearish MACD/KD.
Strategy:
• Plan: Short intraday pops into 133.58～138.07 and add if 130.89 breaks as a momentum trigger
• Size: 70% limit shorts on the zone, 30% on breakdown through 130.89
• Invalid: Short scalp view invalid on a close above 148.91
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🛑 Short Setup:
• SL: 148.91
• Zone: 133.58～138.07
• Breakdown: 130.89
• TP: 130.89, 126.40
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