#ETH今天能否反弹到3380附近

As of December 12, 2025, at 6:37 AM, ETH is currently reported at about $3200. A rebound to around $3380 today is quite challenging and is considered a low-probability event. Here are the core judgments and operational references:

Core Basis

- Technical Analysis: The 4-hour chart shows a downward flag pattern, with short-term resistance concentrated at 3230 and 3320-3330. The daily MACD is below the zero line, and the upper Bollinger Band pressure is around 3329, indicating insufficient breakout momentum.

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- Market Conditions: The market is showing weak fluctuations; the short-term rebound momentum for ETH is diminishing, lacking strong bullish drivers. The upper resistance area at 3380 is significant, and a volume breakout in the 3200-3300 range is needed to challenge this price level.

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- Support and Rhythm: Key support is at 3110-3120. If this is breached, further declines may occur; if it can stabilize above 3200 with increased volume, there will be a chance to attempt a challenge at 3380, but the probability is low.

Operational Suggestions

- Aggressive Traders: Consider light long positions on a pullback to 3150-3200, with a stop-loss at 3100 and a target of 3300-3350; for rebounds to 3350-3380, consider light short positions, with a stop-loss at 3400 and a target of 3280-3240.

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- Conservative Traders: Primarily observe the market, waiting for prices to stabilize at 3300 or confirm support on a pullback before making moves, while strictly controlling position and risk.