[Headline]

🟣 A whale ignores macroeconomic uncertainty, betting a whopping $390 million on ETH! Liquidation line revealed, market holds its breath...

[Content]

🟣 1. The whale's crazy bet: conviction or risk?

• After successfully shorting during the market crash on October 10th, the same whale (Bitcoin OG) has now turned to going all-in on ETH.

• Its position has reached 120,094 ETH, worth approximately $392.5 million, making it one of the most aggressive long positions currently tracked on-chain.

• Key risk: Its liquidation price is set at $2,234.69, meaning that if ETH drops by nearly $1,000, this position will face forced liquidation.

• Implications for traders: The whale's extreme actions demonstrate its strong conviction in the medium-term bullish trend, but also highlight the significant risks of the current highly leveraged market.

🟩 2. Macro and Technical Analysis: ETH's Difficult Choice

• Macro: Despite the Fed's rate cut, Powell's mention of "stagflation" risks cast a shadow over the entire risk asset market, making market sentiment fragile.

• Technical: ETH failed to hold above $3,300, and the daily chart is suppressed by the 200-day moving average (a key long-term trend indicator), indicating weakening upward momentum. Declining trading volume suggests insufficient buying power.

• Future Path: If it cannot quickly recover the 200-day moving average, it may retrace to the $3,050-$3,100 support zone; conversely, a strong break above $3,350 could open up space to test $3,500.

• Implications for Traders: The current market is in a fierce battle between "whale belief" and "macro-technical pressure," and a directional choice is imminent. Close attention must be paid to key price levels.

[Hashtags]#Ethereum#ETH#Whales#On-chain Data#FederalReserve#TradingStrategy#Cryptocurrency#Market Analysis #BinanceSquare