$ETH Combined technical parameters for analysis:

Probability of increase is about 40%:

From the trading volume chart, there has been some fluctuation in recent trading volume, but there are also instances of increased volume. If the subsequent trading volume aligns with a price increase, it may drive the price upward.

Short-term increase: Today's increase is 1.77%, and the increase over the past 7 days is 0.84%, indicating some upward momentum in the short term.

Probability of decrease is about 60%:

Previous trend: The price had sharply dropped from a high of 3446.12, and although there has been some rebound recently, it still remains in the recovery phase after the decline, with significant resistance above.

MACD indicator: Currently, both DIF and DEA remain negative, indicating that bearish strength has not completely dissipated. If an effective golden cross cannot be formed subsequently, the price may fall again.

The medium to long-term trend is bearish, which may suppress short-term increases.

Resistance level: There is strong resistance near the upper limit of 3272.43 and the previous high point of 3446.12. If it cannot effectively break through, the price is likely to encounter resistance and fall back.