🚨 NEXT 24 HOURS COULD BE CRAZY — heads up
🇺🇸 The Fed’s weekly balance-sheet update drops today at 4:30 PM ET. This tells us their total assets number.
Right now the Fed’s total assets are around $6.536T. That’s the number traders are watching. Small moves around it can shake markets.
Why it matters: traders are using this simple rule:
• Above ~$6.53T → altcoins could jump
• Near $6.50T → markets likely stay flat
It’s not magic — more Fed assets = more liquidity = risk-on flows. Less = tighter liquidity = less appetite for risk. These prints can move markets fast.
Extra context: the Fed just started a $40B T-bill buying program to manage reserves. This is already changing the balance sheet trend, so tonight’s number may reflect that.
What I’ll watch at 4:30 PM ET:
• Total Assets headline number
• Any sudden revisions or notes about repo/T-bill ops
• How alts react in the first hour
All eyes on today 👀 If it surprises, expect volatility. Trade or hold accordingly.
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