1. Bitcoin: digital gold is not a metaphor; it is the endgame.
People often ask me, 'What makes Bitcoin comparable to gold?' The answer is just two words: scarcity. But many don't realize that Bitcoin's scarcity is mathematically determined, while gold's scarcity relies on 'geological consensus.' On-chain data shows clearly: publicly traded companies, sovereign funds, and even some countries are secretly treating Bitcoin as a strategic reserve.
For example, MicroStrategy has hoarded 400,000 Bitcoins, accounting for 1.5% of the total global supply.
This operation is reminiscent of ancient empires seizing gold—except now they are seizing code. Recently, JPMorgan even did some calculations: after adjusting for volatility, Bitcoin's market value needs to increase by 42% to match the scale of private investment in gold, with a theoretical target price directly at $165,000.
The trend of hoarding gold bars in the east and grabbing Bitcoin in the west is actually a collective distrust of sovereign credit currencies. Gold is a traditional safe haven, Bitcoin is 'leveraged hedging'—when the market comes, it runs faster than gold, but when it falls, it falls harder.
2. Public Chain Wars: ETH is like nobility, SOL is like guerrillas.
You say ETH transaction fees are high and that POS nodes are centralized? I completely agree. But to say SOL can completely replace ETH, we must first solve an essential problem: decentralization is not a technical issue, it's a game theory issue.
ETH's moat is its ecosystem—DeFi, NFT, Layer2... the entire financial system has grown on it. SOL's advantages are speed and low cost, but several outages have exposed its weakness: stability comes at the cost of centralization.
But to be honest, ordinary users don't care whether it's 'absolutely decentralized' or not; what they want is a smooth experience and not exorbitant gas fees.
So my judgment is: the future will be multi-chain coexistence. ETH occupies the financial high ground, SOL grabs gaming and social scenarios, and other chains capture niche markets. Don't believe the nonsense of 'one chain rules all,' just like in the internet era, there are both AWS and Alibaba Cloud.
3. Web3? It's just financial skin-deep!
Inscriptions, MEME, NFT... are essentially liquidity games. What was hot last year is cold this year, because most projects only have speculative nature without value. But do you say Web3 hasn't broken through? I actually think this is a good thing—it shows the industry is returning to rationality.
True innovation happens in unseen places:
RWA (Real Asset Tokenization): BlackRock brings national bonds on-chain, traditional institutions use blockchain to reduce costs and increase efficiency; this is the long-term trend.
The convergence of DeFi and TradFi: JPMorgan uses blockchain for cross-border settlements, Visa uses stablecoins to handle trillion-level transactions.
Financial giants are 'joining in if they can't beat it.'
So don't be brainwashed by meme coins on social media; the future of Web3 is about serving the real economy, not trading memes.
4. Survival Rule: Bitcoin is a shield, altcoins are spears.
This year, less than 30 altcoins outperformed Bitcoin, and in the next cycle, there may only be single digits left. Why? Because liquidity will concentrate at the top, this is an iron law of financial markets.
My configuration suggestion is:
70% Bitcoin (core asset, don't move easily);
20% Ethereum (public chain infrastructure, betting on ecosystem development);
10% reserved for high-risk opportunities (like AI + crypto, RWA, etc. with real income).
Don't touch contract leverage—Bitcoin's volatility is twice that of gold, and high returns come with equal risks.
5. The crypto circle won't die because human nature needs a casino.
Some say the crypto circle is a bubble, but the essence of finance is managing bubbles. Gold has been hoarded for thousands of years, and Bitcoin has only been around for over a decade; what gives you the right to assert it has no future?
The most brutal yet fair aspect of this industry: it doesn't care about your beliefs; it only respects the laws. When a bull market comes, even air coins can fly; when a bear market arrives, even the leaders must fall. The only ones that survive are those who treat Bitcoin as an asset allocation rather than a get-rich-quick lottery.
Lastly, a heart-wrenching statement: if you are still struggling with 'whether to sell Bitcoin for altcoins,' it shows you don't understand the rules of the game. In this market, patience is more important than cleverness, and position is more important than operation.
