2025 The Ultimate Survival Guide in the Crypto World: From Newbies Escaping Confusion to Building a Personal Stable Profit System (4/4)
To survive in the crypto world in 2025, it's not about luck; it's about a system. Those who rely solely on emotional trading will eventually be eliminated by the market. The following three advanced methods are the 'Long-Term Survival Rules' I've summarized from countless practical experiences.
1. No more random trading: Establish your own fixed system
True experts rely on processes, not feelings.
Here’s the most basic, easy-to-execute 'Personal System Template':
✓ Entry Standards
For example:
BTC breaks below the 50-day moving average
On-chain funds flow in one day > 100 million USD
If both conditions are not met → Do not enter.
✓ Position Rules
Mainstream coins: 10× leverage, single position 1%
Altcoins: 5× leverage, single position 0.5%
No averaging down; do not engage in 'digging deeper' activities.
✓ Exit Standards
Profit 20% → Take half off, let the rest trail for profit
Loss 8% → Unconditional stop loss
A system can help you solve 80% of emotional issues.
It can even prevent the two most common pitfalls:
Buying early due to 'fear of missing out'
Selling too early due to 'fear of loss'
Not just watching candlesticks: Learn to observe the macro
Starting in 2025, crypto assets are tightly bound to macroeconomic factors.
The simplest macro framework focuses on these two:
① US CPI (Inflation)
High CPI → Possible interest rate hike → Overall bearish
Low CPI → Possible interest rate cut → Market likely to rebound
② BTC ETF Position Changes
Increasing positions → Institutions buying → Long-term bullish
Decreasing positions → Institutions withdrawing → Long-term bearish
For example, last May, when CPI was below expectations, BTC surged 8%.
Those who look at data in advance are the ones who eat well in advance.
③ Reduce trading frequency: Subtraction is more important than addition
The more frequently you trade, the more likely you are to lose.
You don’t need to trade daily, just capture 'certain market conditions'.
Narrow down the criteria:
→ Only take advantage of the 2 major opportunities each month.
What is a 'major opportunity'?
BTC drops over 20% in a single day
ETH breaks key resistance levels (like 4000)
Mainstream coins show certain positive news (like ETF approval)
Only take action in such market conditions, and your win rate will naturally increase.
At other times → Stay in cash, observe, wait.
