Brothers, I am Xinying. This morning I was once again swept by that 'whale'—the 'insider king' who made 100 million from BTC in October. This morning, he dumped 90 million USD in BTC long positions, with an average price of 91,500, and his floating profit has exceeded 350,000 USD!
But when I opened the 1-hour BTC chart, I broke into a cold sweat: the price is stuck at 52,295, but the trading volume is shrinking crazily, and the MACD golden cross looks like the 'grim reaper's smile.'
News: The whale's 'long position,' is it really here to bring warmth?
This whale has a cost of 91,500, and the current price is 52,300—his floating profit is only 1.5%, and he is almost not making any money.
But he is also betting over 500 million dollars on SOL and ETH, this is not simply bullish; it's a comprehensive layout and hedging bet.
Remember how he made money last time: he opened a 500 million short position before the big drop, and made a profit of 100 million. This time he is going long, is he genuinely optimistic, or is it to attract trend-following traders and cover other positions for offloading?
Technical analysis (1-hour chart): all 'bullish signals' are lying!
Price is trapped in a cage: 52,295, still 40,000 dollars away from the resistance level of 94,000! In between lies the pivotal point at 92,000. If it can't go up, it will just consolidate and wait for a drop.
MACD golden cross, but volume is shrinking: this is the most dangerous 'trap structure'! The yellow and white lines crossing above the 0 axis seem strong, but the trading volume continues to shrink—if no one is following, where will the real breakout come from?
RSI and MFI are collectively 'playing dead': both stuck in the wait-and-see zone, market sentiment is extremely contradictory. At such times, it often leads to a big bullish or bearish candle, instantly harvesting all the hesitant traders.
The abyss below is not far: support at 90,200; if it breaks, look directly at 87,500. If the whale reverses to crash the price, there is hardly any decent support between 52,000 and 87,000.
Xin Ying's view: the probability of a short-term trap is extremely high; beware of 'double kills' for bulls and bears.
The whale's cost is at 91,500; he is currently pushing the price just to break even; if he crashes the price, he can earn even more.
My judgment: BTC is in a high-risk area below 94,000. If it cannot break through 94,000 with volume, any rally is a trap; once it breaks below 90,200, it will accelerate down to 87,500.
Tonight, the main players may first push the price up, blow up the short positions, and then reverse to crash the price, completing a 'double kill' for bulls and bears. You are not competing with the market; you are betting against the whale's positions.
What should players do?
Non-holders: don’t chase the highs! Only consider light longs after it stabilizes at 94,000. If it breaks below 90,200, just watch.
Holders: if it rebounds to the 92,000-94,000 range, mainly reduce positions. If it breaks below 90,200 with volume, decisively stop-loss.
Aggressive traders: only do right-side breakouts. If it breaks through 94,000 with volume and holds, enter with a very small position; if it breaks below 90,200, consider a light short position, in and out quickly.
Xin Ying hook:
The whale's bottom card will not be revealed, but the traces on the chart cannot be hidden. If you don't want to chase the price at 94,000, bottom fish at 90,200, or cut losses at 87,500—follow me, message me 'BTC tactics' for:
Real-time monitoring of whale position changes.
Tonight is the key breakthrough/breakdown confirmation point.
Dynamic stop-loss and position management strategy.
This is not an analysis, it's a survival guide. The whales have set the stage; are you a pawn or a player?
Success in the crypto space comes from grasping signals, not from blind faith in figures. Xin Ying only does one thing: teach you the most practical way to survive. Want to participate? Follow and join Xin Ying Town for daily strategies, seize every market fluctuation that belongs to you. Don’t miss any market trends you understand.$BTC
