๐จ KITE IS WEAKENING โ SHORTS BEGIN TO GAIN AN ADVANTAGE
KITE has dropped nearly 5%, and the current price structure indicates that this is no longer a simple correction but a sign of a weakening trend, where the shorts are clearly at an advantage.
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๐ป 1. PRICE BELOW MA โ CLEAR DOWNWARD TREND
Price is below MA7 & MA25, and the MA lines are sloping downwards.
โ Any bounce is likely to become a bull trap, suitable for shorting in line with the trend.
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๐ป 2. WEAK RSI, NO DIVERGENCE YET
RSI is around 32, close to oversold but no bullish divergence has appeared yet.
โ There is still room for further price declines.
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๐ป 3. NEGATIVE MACD โ DECREASING MOMENTUM NOT STOPPED
MACD has crossed down and expanded into the negative zone.
โ The probability of another price squeeze is high.
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๐ป 4. MONEY FLOW WITHDRAWING
Volume has been gradually decreasing after the previous pump โ not accumulation.
When money flows out, shorting is usually safer than trying to catch the bottom.
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๐ป 5. LONG-TERM UNLOCK PRESSURE
Token unlock schedule extends to 2027 โ persistent supply pressure, weighing on every bounce.
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๐งญ CONCLUSION โ BEARISH PROBABILITY ~65%
โข Losing 0.077 โ likely to slip to 0.070 โ 0.068
โข Bounce zone likely to be shorted: 0.082 โ 0.085
โข Only if it surpasses 0.090 with high volume will the bearish scenario weaken.