Real Trade Notes

According to the experience of eating heavily, $0G , you guys should short $MMT !
If it goes up, keep shorting!

To trade futures, just try to keep your losses small and your profits big.
Don't go all in - trading while chilling is success, my friends 😂

Short NXPC, good deal 🤭

$ETH Let's finalize short, everyone!
Or finalize a part of it, okay? 🤭

$0G Short order, guys! Enter again with a smaller volume.
I don't know how much lower this will go!

$USUAL tired of this so much, when will we get back to shore 😂

🚨 $BTC NOT DONE YET – THIS PULLBACK IS A SHORT OPPORTUNITY

Bitcoin is technically recovering in a clear downtrend, and this is not a safe point to long.

📉 Why is BTC still BEARISH?

1️⃣ Bad price structure
• BTC is still maintaining lower high – lower low
• Price is below EMA25 & EMA99 on the daily chart
→ The medium-term trend has not reversed

2️⃣ Weak recovery momentum
• MACD below 0, the recovery lacks momentum
• RSI < 50, buyers have not gained market control
• Volume is gradually decreasing → big money is not entering the market

3️⃣ Macro pressure & cash flow
• BTC ETF reports net capital outflow
• Market sentiment is leaning towards defense – avoiding risks
→ Each pullback is easily becoming a distribution zone

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🎯 ACTION STRATEGY
• Priority: SHORT according to trend
• Shorting zone: 88,000 – 89,500
• Near TP: 85,000
• Deep TP: 82,000 – 80,600
• Cancel scenario: Daily close above 90,000

🔴 Do not catch the bottom. Do not FOMO long.
In a downtrend, rallies are created to short.

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💬 Are you waiting to short or still waiting for a confirmation of reversal?
Comment your opinion to analyze further 👇

MMT: DON'T LET THE BOUNCE TRICK THE MARKET

MMT is experiencing a slight bounce after a sharp decline, but this is not yet a reversal signal — it resembles more of a technical bounce in a downtrend.

Technical perspective:
• EMA7 is still below EMA25, the downtrend structure has not been broken.
• MACD remains below the signal line, momentum is very weak.
• RSI (6–12–24) are all below 50, indicating that buyers have not regained control.
• Price is stuck below strong resistance, bouncing but without supporting volume.

Notable points:
• Recent green moves are mainly short-covering / technical bounces, not new money inflow.
• When the bounce weakens, price can easily continue sliding towards old lows.

Reference strategy:
• With the current structure, prioritize SHORT positions when the price bounces rather than trying to catch the bottom.
• Should only change perspective if MMT clearly breaks above EMA25 with large volume — this has not happened yet.

📉 The main trend is still DOWN.
📌 These bounces are suitable for the $MMT short setup, not for FOMO buying.

👉 Are you guys looking at MMT for a continued short scenario or waiting for a new trend break? Comment to share your perspective.

🚨 $ETH CANNOT BREAK OUT EVEN WITH GOOD NEWS — SHORT WARNING

GOOD NEWS CONTINUES TO COME, BUT THE PRICE REMAINS WEAK.
This is usually not accumulation, but a sign of distribution in the rebound rhythm.

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🔻 TECHNICAL VIEW
• ETH remains below EMA25 & EMA99 daily → medium-term trend has not reversed.
• The most recent rebound was rejected at dynamic resistance, forming a lower high structure.
• Weak rebound volume → lack of real buying force.

👉 This is a pullback in a downtrend, not a new uptrend wave.

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🌪️ MONEY FLOW & CONTEXT
• ETH ETF continues to record outflows → institutions remain cautious.
• Technical issues + macro context not “risk-on” make it difficult for ETH to rebound strongly in the short term.
• Long-term good news is not enough to drive the price up immediately.

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🎯 PREFERRED SCENARIO: SHORT
• Trend: Bearish
• Shorting zone: 3,000 – 3,100
• Invalidation: Close candles firmly above 3,150
• Targets: 2,900 → 2,800 → 2,650

📉 Losing 2,900 = selling pressure may accelerate.

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🔥 CONCLUSION

ETH is not suitable for FOMO long.
A reasonable strategy at this time:
👉 Wait for a rebound to SHORT – trade according to the trend – manage risk tightly.

💬 Are you waiting to short the 3k zone or waiting for a breakdown of 2,900 to enter stronger?

🚨 $0G IS BLEEDING — THIS IS NOT "BOTTOM FISHING", BUT A SHORT TRADE

DON'T LET "OVERSELLING" DECEIVE YOU.
0G currently is not a healthy adjustment, but a continuing downtrend, and every bounce at this moment is only suitable for SHORT.

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🔻 WHY IS 0G STILL BEARISH?
• Price is below EMA7 & EMA25, both are sloping down → downtrend has not been broken.
• The structure of lower high – lower low remains intact.
• Volume is dwindling, no new money is participating to support the price.
• Security incidents + token dispersion → market confidence is clearly weakening.

👉 RSI may be oversold, but being oversold in a downtrend DOES NOT mean a bottom.

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🎯 PREFERRED SHORT PLAN
• Trend: Strong Bearish
• Nice short zone: 0.83 – 0.88
• Bearish invalidation point: Only when a candle closes firmly above 0.90 with large volume
• Price targets:
• Near: 0.80
• Next: 0.75
• Extended: 0.70

📉 Breaking below 0.80 = selling pressure may accelerate.

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🧠 MARKET PSYCHOLOGY
• The long side is hoping for a "restructuring phase".
• The short side sees weak trends + lack of real demand.
➡️ In a downtrend, hope is what makes accounts pay the price.

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🔥 CONCLUSION

0G is not ready to reverse.
Until the market proves otherwise,
👉 PRIORITIZE SHORT during the bounce, do not catch the bottom.

💬 Are you waiting to short right at the bounce zone or waiting to break 0.80 to increase your position?

$KITE short call guys!

$0G delicious for the team in shorts already huh 🤭

$BANK close the short position, let's find the Long entry guys!

Bro, confirm $ALLO . Now it's more reasonable to time Long!!!

🚨 JUV PUMP STRONG BUT HIGH RISK — SHORT ON THE PULLBACK

$JUV

JUV just surged ~35–40% (0.62 → 0.86) thanks to news related to Tether & Juventus. But looking closely, this is a news-driven pump with very high correction risks.

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🔻 1. HEAVILY OVERBOUGHT – EASY PULLBACK
• RSI ~80+ → extreme overbought zone.
• Price surpassed Upper Bollinger Band → often leads to a pullback.
➡️ Long chasing at this point risk > reward.

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🔻 2. BULLISH STRUCTURE – FOMO DOMINANT
• Candlesticks rising vertically, volume surging → short-term FOMO.
• Buyback news is uncertain (Exor denies selling the club) → likely to trigger sell-the-news.

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🔻 3. IMPORTANT PRICE LEVELS
• Strong resistance: 0.88 – 0.90
• Nearby support: 0.75
• Falling below 0.75 → likely to slide to 0.68 → 0.62

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🧭 PREFERRED SCENARIO
• Bias: Bearish / Pullback
• Strategy: Short when price weakens or is rejected in the 0.88–0.90 range
• Pullback probability: ~60%

👉 Only when it holds above 0.90 with sustained volume, the bearish scenario will be invalidated.

⸻

💬 Do you lean towards a deep pullback or just a cooldown before going sideways?

🚨 BANK IS BOUNCING LIGHTLY BUT THE TREND HAS NOT CHANGED — SHORT ON BOUNCE REMAINS A PRIORITY

$BANK

BANK increased ~2–3% during the day, but this is just a technical bounce in a still weak price structure. Data shows that the short side still holds the advantage.

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🔻 1. PRICE BELOW EMA25 – TREND NOT SAVED
• Price around 0.041–0.042, still pressed by EMA25 (0.044–0.045).
• EMA sloping down → medium-term trend has not reversed.
➡️ The bounce up to 0.043–0.045 is likely a bull trap.

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🔻 2. RSI & BOLLINGER: SHORT BOUNCE, HARD TO SUSTAIN
• RSI bounces quickly → likely to adjust back.
• Price touching Upper Bollinger Band → usually followed by pullback/sideways.

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🔻 3. VOLUME NOT SUPPORTING
• The bounce volume does not exceed the previous drop.
• Orderflow buying ~54% but the price does not surge → buyers are being absorbed.

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🔻 4. SUPPLY PRESSURE & SENTIMENT
• Unlocking tokens still pressuring the price.
• Good narrative but the market has not prioritized BANK.

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🧭 CONCLUSION — BEARISH ~60–65%
• Strategy: short according to the bounce.
• Short zone: 0.043 – 0.045
• Support: 0.0386 → losing this level easily goes back to 0.036 – 0.034.
• Only if the candle closes firmly above 0.045 with large volume, the bearish scenario will weaken.

⸻

💬 Do you lean towards a bull trap or a real breakout?

🚨 KITE IS WEAKENING – SHORTS BEGIN TO GAIN AN ADVANTAGE

$KITE

KITE has dropped nearly 5%, and the current price structure indicates that this is no longer a simple correction but a sign of a weakening trend, where the shorts are clearly at an advantage.

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🔻 1. PRICE BELOW MA – CLEAR DOWNWARD TREND

Price is below MA7 & MA25, and the MA lines are sloping downwards.
→ Any bounce is likely to become a bull trap, suitable for shorting in line with the trend.

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🔻 2. WEAK RSI, NO DIVERGENCE YET

RSI is around 32, close to oversold but no bullish divergence has appeared yet.
→ There is still room for further price declines.

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🔻 3. NEGATIVE MACD – DECREASING MOMENTUM NOT STOPPED

MACD has crossed down and expanded into the negative zone.
→ The probability of another price squeeze is high.

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🔻 4. MONEY FLOW WITHDRAWING

Volume has been gradually decreasing after the previous pump → not accumulation.
When money flows out, shorting is usually safer than trying to catch the bottom.

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🔻 5. LONG-TERM UNLOCK PRESSURE

Token unlock schedule extends to 2027 → persistent supply pressure, weighing on every bounce.

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🧭 CONCLUSION – BEARISH PROBABILITY ~65%
• Losing 0.077 → likely to slip to 0.070 – 0.068
• Bounce zone likely to be shorted: 0.082 – 0.085
• Only if it surpasses 0.090 with high volume will the bearish scenario weaken.

Officially closing the $ALLO this, the bet is too good 😂

$KITE continue short bro!
$MMT same goes, but lower the volume okay 😁

🚨 THE BANK IS SLIDING DEEP – SHORT OPPORTUNITIES ARE WIDENING

$BANK

BANK increased slightly by 0.4% but remains in a long-term downtrend. Weak money flow, downward EMA, and unlocked supply give shorts a clear advantage.

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🔻 1. DOWNWARD EMA – CLEAR DOWNTREND

EMA7 < EMA25 < EMA99 and all are above the price level.
→ Any bounce back to 0.043–0.045 easily becomes a bull trap for shorts.

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🔻 2. SELLING PRESSURE FROM UNLOCKED TOKENS

Supply is about to unlock → selling pressure is steadily increasing.
No new money flow to absorb → price recovery is difficult.

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🔻 3. WEAK RSI AND MOMENTUM

RSI is below the strong zone, MACD has not given a reversal signal yet.
→ Downward momentum still dominates.

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🔻 4. VOLUME TILTED TOWARD SELLING

31M volume but mostly from red candles → the market is withdrawing liquidity.
When there is no demand, breakdowns tend to happen faster.

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🔻 5. BEARISH SENTIMENT

TVL increases but price decreases → the community begins to doubt.
In this context, shorting always has an advantage over longing.

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🧭 CONCLUSION — BEARISH PROBABILITY ~60%

Main scenario:
👉 Retest 0.0396, break → down to 0.038 → 0.035
👉 Only when breaking 0.045, the trend becomes less negative.