๐จ BANK IS BOUNCING LIGHTLY BUT THE TREND HAS NOT CHANGED โ SHORT ON BOUNCE REMAINS A PRIORITY
BANK increased ~2โ3% during the day, but this is just a technical bounce in a still weak price structure. Data shows that the short side still holds the advantage.
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๐ป 1. PRICE BELOW EMA25 โ TREND NOT SAVED
โข Price around 0.041โ0.042, still pressed by EMA25 (0.044โ0.045).
โข EMA sloping down โ medium-term trend has not reversed.
โก๏ธ The bounce up to 0.043โ0.045 is likely a bull trap.
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๐ป 2. RSI & BOLLINGER: SHORT BOUNCE, HARD TO SUSTAIN
โข RSI bounces quickly โ likely to adjust back.
โข Price touching Upper Bollinger Band โ usually followed by pullback/sideways.
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๐ป 3. VOLUME NOT SUPPORTING
โข The bounce volume does not exceed the previous drop.
โข Orderflow buying ~54% but the price does not surge โ buyers are being absorbed.
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๐ป 4. SUPPLY PRESSURE & SENTIMENT
โข Unlocking tokens still pressuring the price.
โข Good narrative but the market has not prioritized BANK.
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๐งญ CONCLUSION โ BEARISH ~60โ65%
โข Strategy: short according to the bounce.
โข Short zone: 0.043 โ 0.045
โข Support: 0.0386 โ losing this level easily goes back to 0.036 โ 0.034.
โข Only if the candle closes firmly above 0.045 with large volume, the bearish scenario will weaken.
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๐ฌ Do you lean towards a bull trap or a real breakout?