Update $BTC insight 13/12
Main scenario (priority): Bounce to clear short-liq near before deciding the trend
✅ Support factors:
- The short-liq cluster nearby is right above: 91.2–91.4 then 92.36 (short-term magnet).
- Bids > Asks and positive Bid/Ask Ratio: the order book is “supporting” the price, consistent with the technical bounce.
- Whale vs Retail Delta is still positive (albeit weak): whales have not confirmed a switch to net selling.
- Expectation: Bounce to test 91.2–91.4. If there is a strong break, it could push up to 92.3 - 92.98–93.00 (next liquidation zone).
Secondary scenario (defensive): Break 90k and activate long squeeze towards the cluster 88–87–86
⚠️ Support factors:
- Retail and Top Traders are also heavily leaning long: the “in-phase” state facilitates the price to continue sweeping downwards for liquidation.
- Long-liq below is thick and stacked with many layers (87.6–86.6 is a large cluster): if support is lost, the price often gets “pulled” towards the thick liquidation cluster.
- Whale vs Retail Delta is weakening significantly: signs that whales are no longer supporting the price; the bounce could easily turn into an “exit liquidity” move.
