Fellow crypto enthusiasts, I am Si Sheng. Some Federal Reserve officials oppose cutting interest rates because inflation is still high; we need to wait for more data, but there are expectations for cuts next year.

1. First, look at the news:

They talk about 'waiting for data' but are actually tightening the liquidity faucet! Inflation hasn’t retreated, and tariff threats remain; AI may even embolden them to maintain high interest rates—this isn’t a delay of gratification; it’s a direct weaning!

In the crypto world, prepare for a longer 'funding drought.' Junk projects will die off en masse, and mainstream coins will also face severe fluctuations. But remember: every time the Federal Reserve 'screams hawkishly,' the market is helping you wash out the bubbles, forcing out the real gold.

Si Sheng's view:
The Federal Reserve's 'no rate cut' is actually putting pressure on and reshaping the crypto market, declaring the end of the liquidity-driven era. Value and narrative will become the new core, with insubstantial projects being eliminated.
Bear markets eliminate bubbles; stay awake and wait for opportunities. The real bull market only rewards those who can identify value signals amidst the noise. Stay calm, reload your bullets—patience is the best leverage.

2. Next, look at the technical side: currently, it is the ETH one-hour chart.

The MACD yellow and white lines just crossed above the zero axis, marking the first footprint of stabilization. But just having a golden cross isn’t enough; it’s like starting a car in gear without stepping on the gas—it won’t move. The current gas pedal is the trading volume. Look at the VOLUME bar; it has shown several consecutive decreases, clearly indicating a strong wait-and-see sentiment. A rebound without volume is just a trick, and this has been said countless times in the circle. The RSI’s three lines haven’t entered the overbought zone, indicating limited downward space and favorable odds;

Speaking of this, I recall a classic case: last August, ETH was also stuck between 3050-3120 for a whole week. Many people criticized it as 'useless,' but once the Merge upgrade news was confirmed, it surged 20% in a week. Consolidation is not the end of the trend; it is often a deep breath before a big movement. Of course, history doesn’t simply repeat itself, but the logic of market sentiment is always similar.

Si Sheng's view:

If it can effectively hold above the key level of 3070, you might consider going long. If it doesn’t hold above 3070 or just spikes up, then consider going short. However, since US stocks are closed over the weekend, there won’t be much volatility unless there is important news!!!

Si Sheng’s operational advice:

1. If you are already holding long contracts, you can see the key level above 3070. If you are holding short contracts, you can refer to my key level below 3070.

2. For those who are on the sidelines, consider going long in the range of 2995—2895, but remember to set a stop-loss. You can consider going short near 3100—3275!

3. Remember not to go all in; the contrarian nature of trading, capital control, and risk management are very important. If you go all in, you may directly face a plunge!!!

Si Sheng announces three strategies daily in the village. If you are not holding 5 million, please follow Si Sheng in the chat room to receive real-time advice and avoid liquidation risks. The current market is unpredictable, and each villager has different positions, so please keep updating the entry points Si Sheng announces in the village!!!

Want to know exactly where to enter and where to set the stop-loss for the safest position? Si Sheng has already provided reminders in the chat room; those who want to follow along, become a villager of Si Sheng!!!$ETH #美联储降息