Will the "bull market leader" of A-shares be able to counterattack next week? Analysis of the operating logic and opportunities in the securities sector

As the "bull market leader" of A-shares, whether the securities sector can welcome a genuine counterattack next week can be explored from its trend patterns and historical operational experiences—currently, the trend of the securities sector is basically consistent with the Hong Kong Hang Seng Technology Index, and the core opportunities still revolve around "annual line support".

From the characteristics of the sector, every time the securities sector adjusts to the vicinity of the annual line support, it is a worthwhile layout window to pay attention to, but one must abandon the obsession of "buying at the lowest point of the annual line": past trends show that stock prices often rebound when they reach near the upper side of the annual line, and they almost never accurately dip down to the position of the annual line.

This pattern has been verified in multiple practical operations:

On May 31, it was suggested to "buy at the annual line", but many investors missed the opportunity by stubbornly waiting for the lowest point of the annual line;

After learning the lesson, on June 21-22, it was clearly advised on the weekend that "there is no need to wait for the annual line, just lay out in batches", and on June 23, the collective bidding stage successfully bottomed out;

On December 3-4, it was again suggested that "the securities sector may rise at any time", and on the afternoon of December 4, the sector surged sharply.

These cases essentially point to the core principle of A-share investment: the most taboo is the word "greed". If one always thinks about "buying at the absolute low point and selling at the absolute high point", they will often miss opportunities or even miss out entirely. A more rational operating logic is to focus on "profit-loss ratio" and "win rate": first judge whether the downward adjustment space of the sector is limited and whether the upward rising space is sufficient, as long as the profit-loss ratio is favorable, one can directly enter the market in batches— even if the judgment is wrong, risks can be controlled through small stop losses; if the judgment is correct, one can seize a considerable rising profit.