📊 Crypto Market Flash — Risk-Off Update (Today)

Here’s a clean, TCJ-style snapshot of the current crypto market based on my analysis 👇

🔥 Bitcoin (BTC) Price Action

BTC is drifting lower near $90,000–90,500, down ~2–2.5% on the day and nearly 10% off November highs. Price action remains controlled — no panic selling yet, but momentum is clearly soft.

Key Levels (24–48h):

• 🟢 Support: $88,000–89,000

• 🔴 Resistance: $92,000–93,000

A clean break below support could trigger a flush toward the mid-$80Ks.

💧 Ethereum (ETH) Snapshot

ETH is trading just above $3,050–3,100, underperforming BTC as ETF flows turn mixed.

Key Levels:

• 🟢 Critical Support: $3,000

• 🔴 Resistance to Reclaim: $3,250–3,300

Without a reclaim, upside bounces may stay short-lived.

🌐 Altcoin Outlook

Broad altcoin indices are lagging BTC, with most large caps down 2–5% intraday.

• Selling looks beta-driven, not narrative-led

• Smaller caps & governance/fan tokens are seeing sharp, tactical volatility

No clear “alt season” rotation yet.

🔎 Market Drivers & Flows

• Macro: Reduced 2026 rate-cut expectations, BOJ tightening fears, weaker AI/tech sentiment

• Derivatives: ~$190–220M liquidations → leverage shake-out, not capitulation

• ETFs: Recent spot BTC ETF outflows signal choppy institutional positioning

🎯 24–48h Outlook (TCJ View)

Base Case: Choppy to mildly bearish

Expect downside tests of support while leverage and ETF flows reset.

Bullish Scenario Needs:

• BTC > $93K

• ETH > $3.3K

• Clear improvement in ETF inflows

Until then → range trading, fake breakouts & headline-driven spikes dominate.

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