XRP has bounced off recent lows, climbing nearly 4% from yesterday’s bottom before cooling into a short consolidation. This isn’t a trend reversal yet, but it is a shift in behavior. More importantly, the data shows selling pressure is weakening—and large holders are starting to act.
Bullish Divergence Meets Whale Accumulation
On the daily chart, XRP printed a bullish divergence between December 1 and December 12. Price pushed to a lower low, while RSI formed a higher low. That’s a classic sign that downside momentum is running out, not that buyers have fully taken control.
What gives this signal real weight is whale behavior.
Wallets holding over 1 billion XRP increased balances from 25.36B to 25.42B XRP
Wallets holding 100M–1B XRP reversed distribution, rising from 8.08B to 8.15B XRP
Combined, these groups added roughly 130 million XRP, worth about $265 million at current prices. That’s not noise. That’s conviction capital stepping in while sentiment is still cautious.
This accumulation also lines up with improving fundamentals. Ripple’s progress toward regulated U.S. banking status strengthens the institutional narrative, making these levels attractive for long-term positioning rather than short-term speculation.
Key Price Levels That Matter
Now for the part most traders ignore: confirmation.
$2.11 is the first decision point. A daily close above it would signal buyers are regaining short-term control.
$2.21 is the real structural test. Holding above this level would flip the market bias bullish and reopen upside targets toward $2.58+.
On the downside, the setup is clean:
A drop below $1.96 with weakening RSI invalidates the bullish divergence
That would expose $1.88, then $1.81 if selling accelerates
Bottom Line
This is a constructive setup, not a finished move. Momentum is improving, whales are accumulating, and the regulatory backdrop supports longer-term confidence. But price still needs confirmation.
If whales keep adding and price reclaims key resistance, this turns into a real reversal.
If not, this was just a smart bounce in a cautious market.
Right now, XRP is at a crossroads—and the next few daily closes will decide which side wins.
