According to recent market dynamics, this morning (December 14) the cryptocurrency market is primarily influenced by the following macro events and technical aspects:
1. Core macro event: The Bank of Japan's policy meeting is imminent
Next week (December 18-19) the Bank of Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting. According to reports from several authoritative media outlets, the market widely expects it to decide on an interest rate hike. If this comes true, it means that the last major negative interest rate economy in the world is turning, which may attract global capital back to Japan, tightening liquidity in the global market. This typically constitutes macro bearishness for risk assets priced in USD, such as Bitcoin.
2. Current market technical situation
As of the close on December 13, Bitcoin is showing a pattern of narrow fluctuations with reduced volume at the key level of $90,000, as both long and short sides are becoming cautious before significant events.
· Upper resistance: Around $94,000.
· Lower support: The area of $88,000 to $90,000.
Market volatility has significantly decreased, indicating that it is waiting for new driving factors to break the balance.
3. Summary and points of interest for the future market
This week's core market logic: Traders are preparing for the potential "global liquidity tightening." The Bank of Japan's decision will become a key catalyst affecting the short-term direction.
Points to watch:
1. Bank of Japan meeting results: Whether to raise interest rates and subsequent policy guidance.
2. Bitcoin price breakthrough at key levels: Can it hold the $90,000 support?
3. Changes in market liquidity: Be vigilant about the risk asset correction caused by the rising risk aversion sentiment.
If you are interested in how the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike might specifically impact the cryptocurrency market, I can provide you with a more in-depth analysis. #加密市场反弹
