In a recent update published on December 13, 2025, Bitcoin faces a critical turning point as its overall decline converges with a tight battle in the mid-range between $86,000 and $100,000. With bearish patterns confirmed and short-term support continuing, the market now awaits whether the bulls can regain momentum or if a deeper decline is forthcoming.
### Confirmation of Bitcoin's total market peak: A broader retracement phase is underway
According to an update from analyst Crypto Patel, Bitcoin seems to have confirmed a market peak and is now entering a broader overall retracement phase. Losing a key bullish support level has altered the market structure to a bearish phase.
- The head and shoulders pattern has completed, and classic technical rules indicate that a 162% bearish projection has already been achieved, reinforcing the view that the cycle peak has been set and a larger trend reversal is underway.
- In recalculating the total Fibonacci from the market's lowest point to the recent peak, key levels stand out: level 0.382 near $56,700, level 0.5 around $44,000 as a potential acceptance area for a bearish market, along with level 0.618 near $35,000 as the strongest long-term support area.
- On the liquidity side, an unfilled fair value gap between $98,000 and $100,000 acts as a magnet for a short-term relief bounce before resuming the broader bearish trend.
- The overall outlook for Bitcoin remains bearish, with a potential bounce towards $98,000–$100,000, but the main path indicates deeper movement towards Fibonacci support between $70,000–$60,000.
Traders are advised to wait for confirmation and remain flexible, respecting multiple scenarios as the market develops.
### Bitcoin trapped between critical resistance and support
As noted by analyst Cyril XP, Bitcoin remains trapped between two critical areas. The price is currently around $90,300 (having traded at $90,412 on the daily chart), following another rejection from the supply area of $96,000–$100,000 and the 50-day exponential moving average, which has capped upward attempts in recent weeks.
- On the downside, buyers continue to appear around the demand area of $86,000–$88,000, preventing a slide into a broader collapse and keeping Bitcoin within its current range.
- From a broader market perspective, Bitcoin retraced earlier while tech stocks rose, and with the momentum of tech slowing, Bitcoin is trying to stabilize.
- A sustained move above $100,000 would open the door for a trend reversal, while losing support at $88,000 could expose Bitcoin to a deeper pullback towards $72,000–$76,000.
Until any scenario is resolved, the price action remains turbulent, and patience is requested from traders.
### Outlook and historical comparisons
The overall outlook is bearish, with potential for a short-term bounce, but the main trend leans towards a deeper pullback. Regaining bullish momentum requires a strong breakout above $100,000, while breaking below $88,000 could lead to further declines.
Current patterns – such as the head and shoulders pattern and Fibonacci levels – resemble previous cycles, where similar peaks led to significant pullbacks before resuming the long-term trend.
This analysis reflects the opinions of technical analysts, and personal research is always recommended before making investment decisions, as the cryptocurrency market carries high risks.
