Long-term Bitcoin $BTC holders are at peak | KaiZXBT on Binance Square

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Long-term Bitcoin $BTC holders are at peak distribution.
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Is Silver’s Parabolic Rally an Early Warning Signal for Crypto? Silver has stolen the spotlight this week after an explosive parabolic move, printing a new all time high above 64 USD. While the rally itself is remarkable, several analysts argue that the real significance may lie beneath the surface, as silver has historically acted as a leading indicator for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Market observers note that Bitcoin has often followed silver’s price action with a noticeable lag. This correlation has been visible since 2021, with BTC typically reacting weeks or even months after major upside moves in silver. If this pattern holds, Bitcoin could be setting up for a delayed bullish response to silver’s breakout, though timing remains uncertain. Silver’s surge also suggests a liquidity rotation away from gold. This shift may indicate that capital is gradually moving from traditional safe havens toward assets perceived as relatively undervalued. Eventually, that rotation could extend into crypto once risk appetite improves. Despite expectations that the Federal Reserve’s recent rate cut and the end of quantitative tightening would boost risk assets, Bitcoin dropped more than 4 percent after the announcement, while gold and silver continued higher. A key driver appears to be rising stagflation fears, with inflation still elevated despite looser monetary policy. In this environment, investors have favored defensive assets over Bitcoin. However, history shows that when liquidity exits gold and silver, it often looks for higher beta opportunities. That dynamic keeps Bitcoin firmly on the watchlist as a potential next beneficiary. #BTCVSGOLD

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The upcoming Bank of Japan meeting could become one of the key determinants of global liquidity. There is no denying that macroeconomic conditions have had a profound impact on Bitcoin’s price and the broader crypto market in recent months. This dynamic is likely to persist, especially as the Bank of Japan continues to play a pivotal role. In early August 2024, the crypto market experienced a sharp sell off triggered by the unwinding of Japanese yen carry trades following the BOJ’s interest rate hike. According to the latest reports, the BOJ is now considering further rate increases, a move that could accelerate the reversal of additional carry trade positions. Global liquidity is currently tightly linked to the Japanese yen, while Japan remains one of the largest holders of US Treasury bonds. If Japan raises rates further and continues selling US Treasuries, global financial markets could enter a new phase of heightened volatility. Such a scenario would likely lead to capital flowing out of risk assets, including Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Analysts argue that the upcoming BOJ meeting is the underlying catalyst behind the recent crypto market downturn, which followed the Federal Reserve’s announcement of interest rate cuts.

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Global liquidity hits ATH at $130T – Is 2026 the payoff for risk assets?

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$55B Bitcoin Options Market Locks In on the $100,000 Level Bitcoin’s options market has grown into a deep, highly liquid structure, and it is now showing an unusually strong concentration around a single price level. Total open interest sits near $55.76 billion, with Deribit dominating at $46.24 billion. CME follows with $4.50 billion, while OKX, Bybit, and Binance trail far behind. Meanwhile, spot BTC is trading around $92,480. Open interest curves reveal that capital is heavily skewed toward the December 26, 2025 expiry. The most crowded strike levels form a clear shelf around $100,000, with call open interest stepping higher above this psychological threshold. Max pain for near term expiries sits in the low $90,000s, but gradually shifts closer to $100,000 as year end approaches. Greeks data adds further clarity. Gamma exposure is concentrated between roughly $86,000 and $110,000, with the flattest zone sitting between $95,000 and $100,000. This suggests price is likely to be magnetized toward this range into late December. For long term holders, this options map still matters. Crowded strikes and expiries often define where liquidity thickens, volatility is suppressed, or sudden moves emerge once hedges unwind. Dealer hedging around these levels can softly pin price, then release it quickly once price exits the gamma zone. Structurally, positioning reflects cautious optimism. Traders are paying for upside through $100,000 and beyond, while maintaining downside protection below. As December 26 approaches, the $100,000 level stands as the market’s clear battleground.

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Google Trends data suggests that Bitcoin continues to quietly retain strong mindshare, even as market conditions appear relatively subdued. While price action has cooled compared to recent highs, search interest for “Bitcoin” has remained steady throughout the past year, highlighting its durable position in global investor attention during a corrective phase. From a longer term perspective, Bitcoin’s search interest over the past five years has shown notable consistency, though current levels sit in the mid to lower range relative to the 2020–2021 cycle peak. That period marked Bitcoin’s breakout into mainstream awareness, driven by retail euphoria and unprecedented macro stimulus. As 2025 nears its end, Bitcoin is following a different attention trajectory. Search interest peaked in mid November before easing alongside price weakness, yet it has stabilized at a higher baseline rather than collapsing. This pattern suggests consolidation in attention, not disengagement. Regionally, interest remains strongest in El Salvador, Switzerland, Austria, and parts of Europe, reflecting sustained institutional and structural relevance. Overall, Bitcoin has not disappeared from the global narrative. It is simply in a quiet phase, waiting for the next catalyst to pull it back into the spotlight.

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