What Is Reserve Risk Index? Buy When Confidence Is High But Price Is Low
Investing is essentially a psychological game between Price and Confidence. Most people make the mistake of buying when prices are high because crowd confidence is high, and selling when prices are low due to fear. The Reserve Risk metric was created to fix this. It helps you identify those rare golden moments when Price is dirt cheap but the Confidence of longterm holders is rock solid.
🔸 Reserve Risk metric compares the Current Price against the HODL Bank.
Low Reserve Risk Green Zone. Bitcoin price is low, yet Longterm Holders are adamantly refusing to sell.👉 Confidence in the asset future value is immense, despite the dull market. This is the zone with the most attractive Risk/Reward ratio. Buying here means buying the stubbornness of Smart Money.High Reserve Risk Red Zone. Bitcoin price is high, but confidence is dropping.👉Value is being driven by speculation rather than holding conviction. The risk of buying the top is extreme.
🔸 Reserve Risk is not a tool for day trading. It is heavy artillery for the 4 year cycle.
When the Reserve Risk line hits the bottom of the green zone, that is the signal to turn off the news and start an aggressive Accumulation strategy.History shows this is always the bottom of Bear Market cycles.
🔹 Do not buy when everyone is euphoric and bragging about profits. Buy when the market is depressing, price is ranging or dropping, but Onchain data shows longterm wallets remain motionless. Their stubbornness is the best guarantee for future growth.
Do you dare to go against your instincts? Buy when your portfolio is bleeding but the Reserve Risk indicator says Whales are being stubborn, or will you wait until the price doubles before feeling safe enough to enter?
News is for reference, not investment advice. Please read carefully before making a decision.