As the market enters December, volatility remains high, leading traders and investors to have differing opinions on future trends. Intraday fluctuations, failed breakouts, and rapid reversals indicate that the market is still searching for direction. The key question now is whether December will bring a decisive breakout trend or continue the range-bound consolidation seen recently.
From a technical perspective, the price movements of major assets show compression near important levels. This tightening range often signals significant changes, but the direction heavily depends on the expansion and confirmation of trading volume. Without sustained follow-through, breakouts can turn into traps. This makes patience and level-based trading more important than predictions.
From a macro perspective, liquidity expectations, discussions on interest rate cuts, and institutional holdings continue to provide support in the medium term. Historically, December can serve as a transition month, either laying the groundwork for momentum at the beginning of the new year or continuing the consolidation to allow the market to digest previous gains. Strong buying interest on dips indicates that there is still confidence beneath the market, but the resistance above still limits attempts at upward movement.
My personal view is cautiously optimistic. I believe a breakthrough is possible, but only if the market can recover the key resistance area with sufficient trading volume. Until then, I would view the current environment as range-bound, focusing on high-probability setups near support, avoiding emotional entries, and keeping capital on standby to confirm signals. In such a market, discipline often outweighs aggression.
The performance of altcoins is also worth noting. Some sectors are showing relative strength, which may be an early sign of a broader return of risk appetite. However, sustained altcoin momentum typically follows the clarity of Bitcoin's trend, so the structure of BTC is an important indicator for the coming weeks.
I would also like to hear your thoughts:
Do you expect December to bring a new round of breakthroughs, or will it continue to consolidate before the next major change? What indicators or levels are guiding your judgment? Let's share insights together and navigate this critical period.
