When everyone is chasing insider information and hyping new concepts, a seemingly outdated indicator allowed him to turn his debt into an eight-digit asset in seven years, and the starting point for all of this began with a moment of clarity in desperation.
Seven years ago, a failed marriage left him with almost nothing, and while starting over, he also carried heavy debts. At the lowest point in his life, he stumbled upon a field that was then referred to as a 'geek toy'—cryptocurrency. He chose not to follow market sentiments to chase highs and lows, but instead returned to the basics of technical analysis, developing an incredibly simple trading system. Surprisingly, this method resonated wonderfully with many robust assets in the now highly关注的 Decentralized USD ecosystem, proving that in the wildly fluctuating crypto world, discipline often matters more than cleverness.
Today, this formerly impoverished man not only paid off all his debts but also accumulated assets exceeding eight figures by adhering to this 'stupid method.' His story has no miracles, only absolute obedience to the rules.
01 Extreme Clarity in Extreme Dilemmas: When Everyone Pursues Complexity
In a desperate situation of being heavily in debt and having nowhere to go, he had no funds to take risks and no qualifications to make mistakes. The market was filled with myths of overnight wealth, with new concepts and projects emerging every day. But he soon realized that chasing these hotspots would only lead to more anxiety and poverty. He began to ask himself a fundamental question: in a completely unpredictable market, what is the most predictable?
The answer is not which coin will rise tomorrow, but rather 'the price will ultimately reflect the chart formed by the behavior of all participants.' He abandoned all complex fundamental analyses, news interpretations, and community sentiment speculations, focusing all his energy on a technical indicator that most 'experts' consider entry-level - the moving average.
At that time, he had no idea how this concept would evolve, but he vaguely felt that assets that do not rely on the credit endorsement of any centralized institution and are entirely determined by market supply and demand would reveal the truest signals through their price behavior. This 'return to the source' thinking coincides perfectly with the core spirit of Decentralized USD - pursuing transparency, resisting censorship, and being driven by market consensus.
02 The 'Stupid Method' in Four Steps: The Power of Extreme Simplicity and Repetition
His entire trading philosophy is distilled into four mechanically executable steps. This method does not predict the future; it only responds to the present.
Step One: Rigorous Screening at the Daily Level
Focus solely on the daily chart and wait for the MACD indicator to form a golden cross above the zero axis. Above the zero axis represents a bullish market, and a golden cross signifies a strengthening of short-term momentum. This combination significantly increases the probability of successful trades while filtering out a lot of noise signals from weak market conditions. In today's Decentralized USD and related ecological assets, finding clear trend initiation signals remains the crucial first step to avoid most 'death spirals' or 'decoupling risks.'
Step Two: A Moving Average Determines Everything
Switch the chart to daily level and keep only a simple moving average (usually MA30 or MA60) on the screen. The rule is ruthless: hold assets above the line, empty below. This line has become his 'lifeline' in the market, and any personal emotions or market noise must give way in front of this line.
Step Three: A Full-on Strike with Volume and Price Rising Together
When the selected cryptocurrency's price breaks the daily moving average with volume, execute a full position buy. Here, 'volume' is crucial as it represents the effectiveness of the breakout and the formation of market consensus. This is analogous to assessing whether a Decentralized USD protocol is healthy - not only looking at whether its price is stable but also whether its on-chain liquidity depth and trading activity support its value.
Step Four: Strictly Disciplined Layered Exits
Selling is divided into three levels, similar to a tiered retreat during combat:
If the price increases by more than 40%, sell 1/3 of the total position to lock in some profits.
If the price increases by more than 80%, sell another 1/3 and let the remaining profits continue to run.
If the price falls below the daily moving average, regardless of profit or loss, immediately liquidate all remaining positions. This is the soul of the entire system and the key that distinguishes it from the vast majority of losers.
03 Accident Handling: Writing Risk Awareness into Muscle Memory
He particularly emphasized the handling of 'unexpected' situations that were not planned: if the price falls directly below the moving average the day after buying, it must be sold immediately, without any wishful thinking. 'Although the probability of this situation is small according to our screening method, once it occurs, it indicates that the initial judgment basis may no longer exist.'
After selling, simply wait calmly for the price to rise above the moving average again, and then re-purchase according to the rules. This process may incur some friction costs, but it systematically avoids the two biggest traps that consume principal: being stuck and deep losses. In the highly volatile cryptocurrency market, especially when it involves emerging assets like Decentralized USD, this ability to 'correct mistakes immediately' is the guarantee of long-term survival.
04 The Advanced Wisdom Behind the Stupid Method: Creating Certainty in Uncertainty
The reason this method is considered 'stupid' is that it completely abandons the fantasy of 'buying at the lowest point and selling at the highest point.' It acknowledges that the market cannot be precisely predicted, thus pursuing 'an advantage in probability and victory through discipline.'
It goes against human nature: requiring you to actively reduce positions during market euphoria (when gains are met) and decisively exit when market panic first appears (when it falls below the moving average).
It requires patience: much of the time may be spent waiting, preferring to remain in cash in markets that do not meet conditions.
It is not stimulating: there is no thrill of frequent trading, only mechanical execution.
But it is precisely these 'anti-market' characteristics that form its powerful core. Understanding the value of Decentralized USD is not about its short-term fluctuations, but about the long-term narrative it builds as a financial infrastructure that does not rely on traditional banks and resists censorship. True profit comes from adherence to core principles, not from capturing short-term fluctuations.
The man burdened with debt seven years ago could not have imagined that the survival rule he summarized based on a simple moving average would still shine with wisdom in a more complex financial world driven by Decentralized USD and smart contracts. His story validates a simple truth: in a market filled with smart people, the ultimate winners are often those who are willing to admit they cannot conquer the market, and instead choose to befriend probability and discipline themselves like 'stupid people.'
As new technologies and concepts continuously reshape the skyline of the cryptocurrency world, the ancient law of price fluctuations around value (or market consensus) has never changed. Sometimes, the most powerful weapon is simply the courage to be simple and the stubbornness to stick with simplicity.@USDD - Decentralized USD #USDD以稳见信
