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puppies罗伊Roy
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Monday Monday, market sluggish
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场反弹
PUPPlES 四叶草68868
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[Replay] 🎙️ 12月以太升级 看8500 +日本19号加息 市场如何变化?
05 h 59 m 47 s · 1.5k listens
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今晚21:30(北京时间),美国将公布11月非农就业报告(含10月和11月数据,因政府停工延迟)。这是自9月报告后的首次完整更新,市场高度关注! 关键数据预期 • 非农新增就业:市场预期约40,000–50,000人(ADP私人就业意外减少32,000,增加不确定性)。 • 失业率:预计维持在4.4%左右(9月为4.4%)。 • 背景:9月非农+119,000,但ADP显示11月疲软,劳动力市场放缓迹象明显。 降息概率 • 2026年1月FOMC会议(1月27–28日):降息25bp概率约24.4%,维持不变概率75.6%。 • 至3月FOMC会议(3月17–18日,累计):降息25bp概率约42.4%。 美联储当前基准利率3.50–3.75%(已连续三次降息)。今晚数据若偏弱,可能推高降息预期;若强劲,则强化“观望”立场。 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察
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