Hello everyone～This week will be a very important data week, and all the data to be announced is closely related to market trends! Here comes this week's #Bell Monday Report, let's take a look at the market information that needs attention～

[First, the conclusion]

  1. This week is a major data week, with a series of announcements including non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate, CPI, and PCE data; the Bank of Japan will also announce its interest rate decision this week. The subsequent interest rate cut expectations in the U.S. and the Bank of Japan's decisions will bring greater volatility to risk assets.

  2. $BTC The price remains in the range of $88,000～$92,000. $76,000～$84,000 is the support area for buyers, while $97,000 and $102,000 are resistance areas. Overall, the market sentiment is still in the fear zone, but ETF funds have shifted from net outflow to inflow, and the options ∆25 Skew data has also improved, suggesting that it should stabilize in this price range in the short term, waiting for the next event-driven trend.

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【Detailed content here⬇️】

  • This week welcomes a data-heavy week. On Tuesday (12/16), non-farm payrolls and unemployment rates will be announced, on Thursday (12/18) CPI will be announced, and on Friday (12/19) PCE will be announced. Overall, although last week's dot plot still predicts maintaining a single rate until 2026, the market generally expects it to be over two rates. The subsequent data released will serve as a reference for the Fed's next rate cut. In addition, the Bank of Japan will hold a rate meeting this Friday, and attention needs to be paid to whether Japan will raise rates and the resulting liquidity pressure.

  • Sosovalue data shows that the current Fear and Greed Index is still in the fear zone. The market capitalization of stablecoins is steadily increasing, and ETF funds are maintaining slight inflows. Options volatility continues to trend downwards, with the ∆25 Skew data showing some recovery, while green leaf long leverage remains stable.

  • $BTC price remains in the range of $88,000 to $92,000. Overall, $76,000 to $84,000 still serves as a strong buying support area. On the upside, the main pressure zones are $97,000 and $102,000. Currently, both bulls and bears are gradually accumulating, betting on the potential trends that may emerge. Short to medium term, attention needs to be paid to breakout trends.