Spot BTC Insights 20251215 03:00 UTC

Positives

1. Institutional Interest: Large buyers and institutional treasuries are accumulating BTC, with spotETF activity shaping demand and a major private bank recommending client allocation.

2. BOJ Rate Hike: The Bank of Japan's anticipated rate hike on December 19, with a 98% probability, historically correlates with 2030% Bitcoin price declines due to yen carry trade unwinding.

3. Bearish Momentum: Technical indicators show BTC trading below the EMA(25) and EMA(99), with the shortterm EMA(7) acting as dynamic resistance, signaling continued bearish pressure.

4. Whale Accumulation: Large entities holding over 1,000 BTC continue to accumulate, and overall selling pressure from longterm holders is easing, suggesting underlying strength.

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5. Market Fear: The Fear & Greed Index indicates "Extended Fear Territory," and significant leveraged positions face liquidation risks, contributing to market uncertainty.

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