$BTC Hello everyone, will the interest rate hike announced on the 19th at 0:00 in Japan cause a direct crash? Everyone must be a bit nervous, right? Let me give you a hint, my layout is also like this: we advance and retreat together.

Looking back at March 19, 2024, Japan finally ended its negative interest rate policy. After the rate hike, Bitcoin dropped 8% that day but quickly rebounded, then started to fluctuate. On July 31 of the same year, the rate was raised from 0% to 0.25%, resulting in Bitcoin falling from 65,000 to 49,000, a temporary pullback of 30%, but soon ushered in a bull market that broke new highs. Then on January 24, 2025, the third interest rate hike occurred, raising from 0.25% to 0.5%, fluctuating for three days with an 8% pullback, but the US stock market still showed an upward trend, and there were no major issues afterwards.

Can this rate hike trigger a crash? I don't think so. Why? Everyone can see that the entire market's interest rate hike expectations have long been anticipated, even retail investors know. Institutions have prepared defenses early, and Bitcoin has already pulled back from 116,000 to 80,000 in advance, so everyone has already reacted. Therefore, even if the market fluctuates and adjusts after the rate hike, we can still see opportunities in core assets.

My personal suggestion: it’s best to first build a bottom position, avoid high leverage, and operations with spot or low leverage are more prudent. Recently, there’s a high probability of touching a bottom around 10 dollars, so everyone can prepare for the opportunity to buy the dip, but remember, risks must always be controlled.

What do you think? Do you believe that this market will welcome new opportunities after some fluctuations? #日本加息 $ETH #加密市场观察