A major event is coming! The Bank of Japan is about to raise interest rates; what kind of turbulence will the market face?

On December 15, news reports revealed that the Bank of Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting from December 18 to 19, and they are currently making final adjustments to prepare for an increase in the current policy interest rate of 0.5%. The most likely scenario is a direct increase of 25 basis points, raising the rate to 0.75%, which would be the highest interest rate level in 30 years since 1995.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and other high-ranking officials have expressed their intention to submit a proposal for interest rate hikes. Surveys indicate that among the 9 policy board members, including the governor and deputy governor, more than half are estimated to support the interest rate hike, and so far, no policy board member has come forward to explicitly oppose it. The Japanese government's internal stance on the interest rate hike is mostly supportive as well.

However, the Bank of Japan will not act blindly; they need to carefully assess whether the interest rate hike will trigger a stock market crash or a sharp appreciation of the yen, which could lead to market chaos, before making a final decision. If rates are indeed raised on Friday, it would mark the Bank of Japan's first interest rate hike in 11 months since January 2025, which would bring significant changes to the market!

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