🚨Recently, a new angle has emerged on the often-discussed quantum computing issue: Will Satoshi Nakamoto's 1 million $BTC be cracked and sold?

Very interesting! The market always likes to enter a phase of "risk pricing based on imagination" at some point in time.

But what’s even more interesting is that in the existing history of Bitcoin, all the reasons that were deemed fatal eventually turned into nodes of evolution.

Many discussions start by asking: Can quantum crack BTC? How long will it take?

This question itself has a bit of media bias. A more realistic question should be:

👉 If quantum computing really becomes a reality threat, will it appear suddenly or will it approach slowly?

The answer is the latter, and it will be a very slow, very engineered approach. In engineering terms, the current level of human technology is not even one order of magnitude away.

So it won't be that one day we wake up and #Bitcoin has been quantum hacked; it’s more likely to be:

A certain country's laboratory → A certain academic breakthrough → A certain type of repeatable engineering validation → Extremely small-scale experimental attacks → The industry begins to respond.

In other words, it is a threat that can be observed many years in advance, not a black swan that arrives suddenly.

This point is very important and directly negates the narrative of "suddenly emptying Satoshi's wallet."

The reason is very simple:

A quantum machine that can truly attack ECDSA must be a national-level resource, and the first thing it would do is certainly not to crash the Bitcoin price;

What they care more about is: military communications, intelligence systems, financial clearing, hostile nations' cryptographic systems...

How much market value does your Bitcoin even account for? What’s the difference in the cost-effectiveness of an attack and using a nuclear bomb to blow up a warehouse?

So, if I had to set a timeline for the quantum threat, I think—

In the next 5 years, it can almost be ignored;

In 5-15 years, we may enter a phase that requires engineering preparation;

Only after 15 years might it become a system-level decision variable.

And even so, it’s not quantum VS Bitcoin, but quantum VS the world's cryptographic systems, which can extremely crack banks, military systems, and global communications.

By that point, the price of BTC will absolutely not be what you should be worried about!